CO_968_580_DEFENCE_OF_HONG_KONG_1957_1959 — Page 138

File References

(14)

which

They are in accord agreement

Ve awar

Page 138

I beat NEATO thinking, following considerations?

s band on the

what is so flows:-

(a) Assessmer of the Theat. The major

theat to the treaty and is subversion

and insurgent action.

action Event

miditary action is unlikely. If

to occur

the most likely

this ward

form would be a Viet Minh

NOTHING TO BE WRITTEN IN THIS MARGIN

attempt to

overum the rest of

Indo-blina. Next in order of

probability would be jour Vet

hinh and

bluese aggression

in the whole of the SENTO

arshgh

with the main blincs thrust

directed at Bangkok. Thind in onder of probability would be

unilateral bhimase action without Viet minha support.

(b) boncept of operations. If it

ware to be decided that

Com act

of overt agguession had taken place and that SEATO inclitany counteraction should take place, the initial action under SEATO plans would consist of immediate air attack, including the use

1

plate

muclear Weapon Page 438 of 172

Wt. 44273 D7186 1м Pads 8/56 B.G. Ltd. (283) G170

Page 138