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9..

(a)

(b)

(c)

The three main courses open to the enemy are

Concentrated land and air attack on France.

Concentrated attack by sea and air against British

sea power and trade.

Continuation of the "waiting policy", possibly

combined with minor operations against the Law Countries, Scandinavia or the Balkans,

Of the minor operations, the one against the Low

Countries could be launched without warning and might lead

directly to an attack on France.

Alternatively, it would be

136

a valuable first step in the intensification of the attack on

British trade.

10.

COMMENTS.

A Paper of this nature inevitably contains a great

deal of detail on which it would be possible to comment. These

details, however, in our opinion are relatively unimportant

and we have accordingly confined comment to those aspects of

the appreciation which affect our strategical planning.

11.

We can say at once that this exhaustive examination by

the Allied Military Committee reveals no new and unexpected

feature in possible German intentions.

appreciation is reassuring in that it confirms the fact that

On the contrary, the

ur plans have been based upon sound principles.

German ability to operate on several fronta.

12.

In more than one place in the appreciation

stated that Germany could conduct simultaneous operations in

Northern and South Eastern Europe, while remaining on the

defensive in the West.

13.

This statement is in apparent contradiction to the

view expressed by the Chiefs of Staff in their report to the

War Cabinet on plans for intervention in Scandinavia, in

paragraph 7 of which they said :-

+ Paras. 26, 33, 40, 45, and 46.

Ø C.0.S.(40) 218.

-3-

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