5.7
Summary of Conclusions
CONFIDENTIAL
5.7.1
5.7.2
5.7.3
The effects of an airport at Deep Bay upon the economic base of the North West New Territories have yet to be assessed in quantitative terms. Intuitively, however, it can be assumed that its direct and indirect effects upon employment generation will be substantial; that the Base Strategy is unlikely, as it stands, to provide sufficient population to provide this workforce; that a strategy for major growth (including a re-assessed Base Strategy) will have more guarantees of success in terms of achieving rapid growth and balanced development.
The effects upon existing development are very much dependent upon airport operational factors which create very considerable variation in the noise effects of the ariport. Depending upon the method of operation adopted (amongst those which have been considered) the numbers of people affected by the 25
NEF level ranges from 2,666 to 28,204. Committed development at Fairview Park and nearby sites which have recently received development grants would add a further 14,000 to the latter figure. Village expansion under the small house policy, whilst impossible to quantify, is a further commitment, and poses an additional but not insoluble problem in affected areas. Nine primary schools, one clinic and one child care centre are potentially affected, but there are no programmed facilities which will be affected. Mai Po marshes presents a potential bird strike hazard, and measures would in all probability need to be taken to "manage" the habitat to reduce its attractiveness to resident and migratory birds.
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The adverse effects of an airport on the Base Strategy as currently proposed are fortuitously small. The proposal for San Tin as a "rural however, would probably need re-examination. "Base Strategy" would, in terms of its overall population, also need to be re-examined in the light of 5.7.1 above. The proposal to enhance Mai Po marshes as a nature reserve and wild fowl park would need to be abandoned.
5.7.4
The major growth strategy will need fairly radical reappraisal as a result of the airport proposal. The whole of phase II, and a portion on Phase I (affecting the Tin Shui Wai site) are affected by noise and height restrictions. Three options for re-locating this displaced development present
5-33
CONFIDENTIAL
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