Wt. 44925/140. 60m. 12/48. Wa. & Co. 51/3.

Wt. 49674/5617. 40m. 4/49. Wa. & Co. 51/3

THIS DOCUMENT IS THE PROPERTY OF HIS BRITANNIC MAJESTY'S GOVERNMENT

The circulation of this paper has been strictly limited.

68

It is issued for the personal use of...

Col. Luesching

TOP SECRET

Copy No.

J.P.(49) 44 (Final)

29TH APRIL, 1949

CHIEFS OF STAFF COMMITTEE

JOINT PLANNING STAFF

HONG KONG

Report by the Joint Planning Staff

As instructed we have, in consultation with the Joint Intelligence Committee:-

2.

(a) assessed the threat likely to develop against Hong Kong and the Leased Territories should the Communists secure control of virtually the whole of China;

(b)

examined whether Hong Kong can be defended

against the threat by the present garrison together with the planned reinforcement;

(c) considered what further military action is

required.

We have consulted the Colonial Office, and have taken into consideration the views of the Commanders-in-Chief, Far East, given in SEACOS 896.

3. Owing to the short time available we have been unable fully to consult our Service Ministries. Our report is attached in two Annexes:-

ANNEX I

The Threat to Hong Kong.

ANNEX II

The Defence of Hong Kong.

Conclusions

4.

We conclude that:-

S

(a)

there is little likelihood of a direct Communist

attack on Hong Kong if we show our determination to hold the Colony;

+ Cos(49) 62nd Meeting

-1-

THE (69)/4(10)

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