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THE NATIONAL ARCHIVES
ad subject to the National Archives' terms and conditions and that your use of it may be
2
strictions Further information is given in the enclosed Terms and Conditions of supply of National Archives' leader copyright
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J.1.C. (46)7 (0)(Final
25TH JANUARY, 19467
ANNEX I
00232
cms
Ref.:
Please note that this copy is
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THE NATIONAL ARCHIVES
2
he National Archives' terms and conditions and that your use of it may be subject in copyright
restrictions Further information is given in the enclosed
Terms and Conditions of supply of National Archives' leaflet.
Report by the Joint Intelligence Sub-Committee
We have been asked by the Joint Planning Staff to examine Sections II and III of an appreciation by the Commander-in-Chief, Hong Kong, on the Defence of Hong Kong, with a view to assessing the potential threat to Hong Kong, and commenting on the necessity for an intelligence organisation included in the Commander-in-Chief, Hong recommendations. Our remarks are as follows:-
Kong's
2. It is considered that, at present, no nation except China is likely to undertake to wrest Hong Kong from British handa. The possibility of a major war between China and Great Britain in the next ten years is so remote as to be negligible. In any other attempt to recover the Colony, the U.S.B.R. and the U.S.A. might give China diplomatic support.
3.
The Chinese are singularly inept at mounting an attack and, in fact, have never scored a major success in the course of their eight years war with Japan.
FORCES AVAILABLE
4. The fighting forces at China's disposal are estimated to be briefly as follows:-
(a) Navy
The Chinese navy has never been, and is never likely to be, an efficient fighting force.
(b) Army
The most efficient troops in the present day
Chinese Army are those trained and equipped by the Americans, They amount to approximately twenty divisions and number about 390,000 personnel. They are equipped with infantry weapons and also with field and medium artillery. The efficiency of the artillery personnel is not of a high standard. Some captured Japanese A.F. Va may be available but a co- ordinated attack by armoured formations is unlikely. Air support has not been developed
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