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Ref.:
THE NATIONAL ARCHIVES
CO 537/1260
2
restrictions Further information is given in the enclosed Terms and Conditions of supply of National Archives' leaflet
Please note that this copy is supplied subject to the National Archives' terms and conditions and that your use of it may be subject to copynght
00 197
(6095) WC. 80019/5368 60m 10/45 C. & Cp. 715(8),
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TOP SECRET
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It is issued for the personal use of
for chalmany
Copy No.
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restrictions Further information is pronal Archives tams and conditions and that your use of it may be subject to copyright
Terms and Conditions of supply of National Archives leaflet.
J.P. (46) 10 (FINAL)
11TH_FEBRUARY, 1916.
Circulated for the consideration of uns Chiefs of Staff
12031/4
CHIEFS OF STAFF COMMITTEE
JOINT PLANNING STAFF
HONG KONG DEFENCE PLAN
Report by the Joint Planning Steff
In anticip-tion of instructions, we have examined an appreciation by the Commander-in-Chief, Hong Kong, of the defence requirements of Hong Kong and the New Territories during the next five years.
C.-in-C. Hong Kong's Appreciation
2.
C.-in-C. Hong Kong's appreciation is based on the following factors:-
(a) A major war between the powers is unlikely for
the next five years; in any case he considers that Hong Kong is indefensible against a major power in possession of the mainland of China. b His provision is, therefore, made for defence against a major attack.
(b) The declared policy of the Chinese Central
Government is to recover the colony by diplomatic means, and in their efforts they may receive diplomatic support from the U.3.A. and U.S.S.R.
(c)
The most likely threat to the security of Hong Kong is from infiltration of lorge numbers of agents into the Chinese population to.organise civil unrest and boycott, also to carry out attacks on the European population. This threat is not a likely danger unless civil war breaks out in the vicinity of Hong Kong.
(a) A direct land assault by a Chinese army
of up to 75,000 men, led by a Southern
War Lord is a potential threet.
(e) Piracy on local shipping is a possibility
at all times.
(f) A guerilla army might march on Hong Kong
as the result of internal unrest or civil war in China.
NO.58/2 of 24th December, 1915.
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