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THE HONGKONG TELEGRAPH. MONDAY, DECEMBER 2 23, 1935.

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war between "Reds" and the "Patriotic Leagues"?

Those are the questions that impartial.foreign observers here are asking. Those are the sub- jects of confidential-reports acnt from the foreign chancelleries here to outside Governments; those are the questions that millions of Frenchmen are ask- ing themselves to-day,

Hongkong Telegraph.THERE is a doubt that France

MONDAY, DEC. 23, 1935.

is rapidly approaching the

FRANCE

Pull THROUGH?

lar Front," but it is really a Communist Bloc..

The growth of the Communist Bloc, and its impudent denial to. its opponents of the rights of free speech and free political meetings, have brought about a violent reaction.

--Parallel with the increased ne tivity of the Communist Bloc has come a revival of nationalism as exemplified, by the various Patriotic Leagues:

Were the present Laval Gov- ernment to disappear nobody knows what would happen .next. Indeed; it is just that fear of social disruption, and financial disaster which for the time being is holding back the... final onslaught on M. Pierre Laval. But his fall, it is goneral- ly assumed, cannot be long de-

·layed.

What will happen then?

Is the Communist Bloe capable of taking effice and of holding it?

THERE are French politicians

SEVERER SANCTIONS? policy that have ever confronted which has led her into the the first ten months of 1935 ment to build up prosperity

The seriousness with, which

her.

Italy has viewed the threat by far she can continue to link her support she might have counted proportion when it is considered server a dangerous game, for it

1

DAYS OF DANGER

have so long leared." This journal

French citizens.

who, feeling that the fall of the frane from gold is inevitable, would welcome a Communist ex- periment. They declare it would moment when the whole nation

be short-lived, would depreciate will have to take the gravest de-

the franc, and then be swept cisions in domestic and foreign self with the League of Nations,

aside by national resentment to The adverse trade balance for allow a fresh national Govern morass of Sanctions against stands at no less than £60,750,- anew on the clean ground. She will have to decide how Italy and deprived her of the 000. This figure takes its true It seems to the Impartial ob- upon in the south-east and in the that it forms roughly one-third must not be forgotten that the League members to apply an oil

Mediterranean without giving of the value of France's total ex- patriotic ex-Service men of the ombargo against her is

NOTES OF THE DAY her one iota more security on her port trade,

National Union of Combatants, sufficient answer to those who

really vital Rhine frontier.

the Patriotic Leagues, made up that argue

sanctions are

At home France will face THE question can be asked: equally grave alternatives. She. doomed to failure. The Italians

An added factor in the complex must decide whether, with bitter France's boasted power of re- youth of the nation, may not ac- What has happened to Partly of sturdy men who have Been the war and of the virile certainly do not regard this

situation arising out of Italy's antagonism dividing her politi- cuperation? method of economic pres-attack upon the integrity of Ethio- cal parties, she can maintain the

cept the "uknses" of a Commun- The answer is simple: There ist Bloc Government dictated as negligible and they pia lies in the hostile reaction system of government of the can be no recovery of trade or from Moscow, and may, in the sure

among the coloured peoples of the Third Republic, with its short- industry or of the financial mar- French phrase, "go down into have good reason for taking a

work. Thoughtful men of African lived Ministries and its per ket while there is political un- the streets." That would mean serious view of the matter. If descent have looked upon Ethiopia the embargo is applied, a vital as a symbol of the aspirations of petually changing policies. Can cerinte

civil war, with all its possibilities In the olden days France had and all its consequences, link in Italy's supply system will black people for independence, for such Governments restore safety

for her frontiers and safety in a powerful central party equi self-determination and the assimila- be menaced. Oil is the lifebloedtion of all that is best in modern the air, and bring back internal valent in a way to the old Liberal be bound to fall, but there is no In both cases the frane would of Mussolini's African adven-civilization. Dr. George E. Hay- prosperity?

One alternative is that she will Party in England-the Radical- body who would be daring ture, a circumstance which is nes, a well-balanced Negro publicist, conceded by the fact that Italy writing in The Christian Century, allow the extremists, now united Socialists. They held the main enough to prophesy at the pre- of Chicago, statos that "American in the Communist Bloc, to take positions, "the control levers" us sent moment what the next few has, ever since sanctions were Negroes find in the Italian advance over the Government and bring they themselves called them, in months, or even the next few first imposed, taken most drastic another instance of exploitation in their train the financial and practically every Government weeks, will bring forth.

whito economic ruin and the domestic

for many years. They were a mensures to conserve supplies. and domination by the

world." The Crisis magazine. Apart from other factors, it edited by Dr. Dubois, says that the slavery of which Moscow affords Left party, but they were, above TIME is pressing, for every

such an illuminating example. all, a Government party.

Frenchman realises. that in seems clear that if the Italians war represents the and spectacle The other is that at the last mo. Now this party, worn out by view of the gigantic effort he are prevented from obtaining of white civilization. One mad--

man shouting of destiny and duty, ment the forces of the Patriotic leadership, has virtually ceased dangers within the near future, intrigues and by Indifferent must make to meet foreign the vast quantities of oil may be the bomb blowing it to Leagues, and especially of which the Ethiopian campaign hell," Another leading journal, Colonel de la Rocque's organisa- since the Stavisky revelations of the Sanctions on Italy, it is to exist as a Government party dungers infinitely complicated by demands, the failure of their Opportunity, states that it is not tion the Fiery Cross (fast ap- last year and since the fatal urgerit that he should set his mistaken enterprise becomes vir the invasion of Ethiopia may be ship), will be strong enough to street fighting in the Place de la the briefest, space of time and beyond the realm of possibility that proaching its million member- sixth of February when the domestic affairs in order within tuully assured. Whether Italy come the force that will create exert their authority and restore regards an oil embargo as an act "that unity of coloured racea which public order through some form Concorde cost the lives of twenty make his decision for good or ill, of hostility or not is really im-the prophets of Nordic supremacy of more or less disguised dicta-

one way or the other. The left-wing of the Radieni- torship.

The gravest danger would be material Admittedly, the en-reports the press of Japan as-full-

Socialist Party, smarting under a policy of "laissez-faire."—A forcement of the embargo might of sympathetic references, to the lund to more war, but the point plight of coloured people under is a striking fact that at a fed-made against it and its Governments might mismanage

IT

the attacks many of them justi- succession of weak and flabby white domination. A sharpening moment when Great Britain leaders, threw caution to the the affairs of the country in the must not be lost sight of, that of the inter-racial crisis as a result sees the dawn of renewed pros- winds, abandoned the prudent hope of something favourable nations aligning themselves in for the conflict was forecast by perity, France should be still in

of South Africa, so precarious a situation,

policy of nearly half a century, turning up. Meanwhile there support of the League system General Smuts, must automatically accept the world that the attack of Italy upon the situation both as regards the ists and the Communists. Thestremists, with its inseparable some time ago. He warned the Figures show how critical is and openly linked its fate with would be a continued drift to- the extremist parties, the Social- wards the policy of the Red ex- consequences of such acts as are Ethiopia would mean the undoing Treasury and national pros- union was first called the "Com-, commercial muddle and financial necessary to achieve the end in of years of effort for inter-racial perity. view. That end is the exertion action between whites and blacks understanding and co-operative

Despite the most stringent mon Front" and then, the "Popu, catastrophe. of such pressure as will cause of the African continent. "The cuts in expenditure, economics Italy, the named aggressor, to African world has been stirred and that have caused vivid resent- stop the war which she is its sympathies are with Abyssinia," ment throughout the country, according to The Bantu World, a and especially among the State waging on the Ethiopians in de-leading native weekly, published in employees, the first ten months fiance of her obligations under Johannesburg in five native langu- of 1935 show a deficit on revenue the Covenant. Sanctions in ages. Negre church people in the estimates of over £52,000,000,

United States call attention to the mild form cannot conduce to a

rising tides of hostility among stated, is a balanced Budget, and The Budget for 1936, it is. rapid attainment of this objec- coloured people. The administrait is said that revenue estimates tive; only severe pressure, of a

tive body of three million Negro have been put this time on a Baptists holds that "Italy has no character likely to place ob-right to subjugate a weaker nation solid basis. Yet it is already stacles in the way of the prosecu- and seize Its possessions by cruel possible to discern from the la- tion of the campaign, can be of war." A bishop of the Coloured bours of the Chamber Finance

Methodist real value. It is a realisation of Mussolini beware of "prodding the Budget deficit of at least the Church bids Signor Commission that 1930 will see a this fact which is producing a sleeping Ilon of potential unified same magnitude, strengthening of feeling against consciousness of related groups, It is already known that the the authors of this war of ar representing more than five, hun-Treasury will have to float loans

dred million coloured people, gression, and which is causing a against five hundred millions of 000 next year to secure funds for as amounting to at least £100,000,- marked disinclination on the Nordic and Aryan stock." Sum- ming up his review of the inter-

the vitally necessary rearma- part of the members of the racial aspects of the war, Dr. Hay-ment on land, kea, and in the air League to consent to any con- nes is of the opinion that the at- and to keep the railways run- cessions to Italy which will dis-titude of the League of Nationsning. regard the rights of Ethiopia. operation or conflict In future rela- tion have disappeared, and the may "tip the scalea toward co-

Prospects of debt consolida- Of the nations which are notions between the white and darker financial problem arises every members of the League, the nations in Amerien, Africa and month, even with the increased United States has shown a de- Asia."

bank discount facilities given by cided desire, whilst observing

Order-in-Council, of enabling neutrality, to abstain from any clearly come when further presby short-term bills for the most the Treasury to get the money action which would prolong hos-sure must be brought to bear by tilities and help Italy to attain the nations which have endorsed urgent requirements.

Latest official trade returns, the policy of sanctions, and it is for the first ten months of 1985, her objective. President Roo-| sevelt's pointed request to oiling to feel that the mex-show that exports fell during aures which they may deem that period 18 per cent. on the companies not to export supplies essential are not likely to be already depressed Ogures for the to the belligerents is an illustra- obstructed by non-members of corresponding period of 1984. tion of this fact. The time has the League.

Imports were, 11 per cent, down......

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