THE AFGHAN SITUATION.
RUSSIAN DESIGNS.
PRESSING FORWARD,
EXPERT OPINION.
୮
THE HONGKONG TELEGRAPH, TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 5, 1901.
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The latest new from Afghanistan further con- firms the information of the Amir's death,. and, what is of the highest importance, seems. 'to indicate that the succession has passed to Habibullah without demonstration other than that of satisfaction. As has been pointed out, the next element in the drama is Russia. Will she remain quiet on her frontier, and, if she does not, what will be hersel object? A serious attempt at the invasion of India is out of the question, but that does not entirely preclude an attempt to improvė the Russian position on the Afghan-Russo frantier and lead to counter-moves on the British side which would result, whatever Their ultimate political outcome, in complications of 073) a highly costly and wholly undesirable nature The talk of an invasion of India at this moment is as ridiculops, notwithstanding our South African complications, as it always has been. Russia has not the smallest wish to enter inth a costly campaign, ever if she had-the financial. power. If Russia ever does sweep over the Indian peninsula it will be a more which will be:} practically unopposed by British arms, and, if resistance there be, it will be from the Natives of India themselves. Before that attempted son- quest takes place, British Power will be as moris bund as that of Spain. She will have censed, by the operations of other circumstances than those "of war, to be a world-Power-and-the-British will have fled from India, as the Romans Acd from the British Isles. Macaulay's New Zea lander may stand on London Bridge and view the remains of a grand capital, but if that event is in the womb of time, the indications of it's approach are not yet, and we can dismiss the theory as too highly speculative and of no practical importance to those now living.
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Brit-to accept the highly suppositious specu-Are now showing a large and, varied assortment of materials suitable for
lation and assume that Russia has embarked (on the mad arivearuro, what happens? Alexis Krausse is accepted as an authority. He says:
the present season.
Hongkong 1st November, 1901.
UNCLAIMED LETTERS AT THE POST OFFICE.
Farrel, S. Francesco, A. Frend, G.
It will thus be seen that if ever Russia makes the attempt of invading Todia, she will have her! hands fall, even before she meets the fiisi, sepoy or is bought up by the forts which line our political frontier. To work out the whole of the requirements of an invading army, or to attempt to discount its probable fate are subjects better left to the military expert ihan the publicist; but it is difficult not to agree with the writers who have discussed the question in all its bearings, and who are unanimous in the opinion that the invasion of India by Russia is a matter of physical impassibility, and the difficulties of a complete invasion -uf Afghanist n are so great as to hardly come withinthe limits of political discussion.... This problem had been discussed by most of the experts who have stu iud tervalry between the two Powers in Asia, and ny satisfactory explanation has yet been suggested As ia the impossibility of a Russian army, invading "India" "upder existing conditions, all-modora authorities are agreed. Whether we turn to millary thinkers like Colonel Hanna, who says, "The only question for us would be where to crush our foes, and for them, whether death or surrender should be their choice " or to political writers like the present Viceroy of India, the opinion is the same. Lara The project of the actuat Curzon wrote:
conquest of India is too preposterous to be entertained. It would involve the most terrible and lingering war the world has ever seen. On the day that a Russian army leaves Balkh
↑
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F, W.
C
+
D. V, Madame Bernardo, R. L. Baptista, A. M. Bruce, Mrs. Betlisie, L. J.
or Hemat for Kandahar, may the British.com. Butterick, C. B. mander exclaim" Now hath the Lord delivered them into my hand!"
Braidwood, W. D. Buno, Col. Pelham Brutter, R. H. Benjamin, David Bertrand, G.
Cramer, K. B. Cavill, Miss A. M. Cruz, C. La Capolune, Emil Clarke, Nelson Cestajo, A.don Passos Conaught, Dr. J. D. Culy. Ch. Chanington, T. C. Carnegie, H. L Chichester, R. L. Collaço, J. M. J. Caldwell, Miss olburn, Geo.
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Colonel Hanna would give Russia the whole of Afghanistan in a theoret cal study of the pos sibility of invading India. He can argue his case with the Russians concentrating at Kabul,Buxton, L. and prove that the defence of the Indian frontier is a simple and certain military eper ation where all the advantages are still in the hands of the defenders. It is for this reason that he opposes the Forward Frontier policy. and the costly pursuit of that will-o'the-wisp, the "true scientific frontier." If the operations in South Africa have done anything it is to prove the soundness of rolonel Hanna's arguments and to fix the error of the perpetual shifting and advancing, leaving behind, as we did when Lord Lytton occe pied Quetta, the strongest frontier with which any land his ever been endowed and the one which lends itself most kindly to the farreach-Carter, Miss ing plans of the strategist and the swift and sudden movements of the tactician.
But the expert tells us that Great Britain is not alone lu her folly, and that Russia is bent on reducing the distance which exists between the frontiers. Krausse says in this respect; "Of the existence of this item in the Russian programme there cannot be the slightest ques tion. The acquisition of the Amir's territory by cession, conquest or friendly occupation has not only been recognised as the immediate aim of Russian policy, but has already been begun and the seizure of considerable tracts of Afghan territory was authorised by the Boundary Com mission of 188" The second condition is causing a rising amongst the Mahomedap population of Northern India and the third, the Occupation of Great Britain in a European war. The last of these conditions is filled by the oc cupation of our army in South Africa. But if this has weakened our power of placing a great army on the North-West Frontler, it has at least established our confidence in the defences of India and the possibility of keeping an invader back with greater case than was believed to be passible two years ago. The value of this opinion as to the aims of Russia. lies wholly. in its application to the present circumstances. The strong hand, the welder of the turbulent clans of Afghanistan, is removed, and Great Britain is occupied in a great wat. The question which arises is not, will Russia attempt the in vasion of India at this time, for, as we have stated, Russia is not prepared to fire a shot in support of such an enterprize, but will she attempt one. of those tosidious moves which so often baffle four diplomatists and which have been so highly successful in the past? Will she see in the present oncatenation of circumstances the opportunity the expert tells us she is in search of and put her foot over the border; only to hall withdraw it when the indications are clear that she must give way Advocate of India.
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[11760
FROMANTWERP,LONDON, PORTSAID, SUEZ, COLUMBO AND STRAITS. Consignees of Cargo by the above named
it from TACOMA DININO CAR is vessel are hereby informed that their Goods attached to trans-continental trains day and are being landed and placed of fat is in the night; TACOMA to NEW YORK in 4 days. Hongkong and Kowloon Wharf and Godown Magnificent Scenery of the ROCKY and Company Godowns at Kowloon, where each CASCADE MOUNTAINS. The YELLOWSTONE Consignment will be sorted out mark by ipark and delivery can be obtained as soon as the NATIONAL PARK route. J
Goods are fanded.
CHONGKONG TO VICTORIA, TACOMA £31.
The best route to the KLONDIKE GOLD FIELDS. Frequent Sailings from VICTORIA, TACOMA to DYBA and ST. MICHAEL, ・・
Rates of Passage to other Points on spplica.
tion.
Special
rates allowed to members of Govern ment Serviers
For further Information as to Fassago Freight, apply to
or
Optional Goods will be landed here unless instructions are given to the contrary, before
PM TO-DAY
Goods not cleared by the 6th November, at 4.P.M., will be subject to rent,
be effected by me in
No Fire Insurange,will, ba any case whatever...
All damaged Packages must be left in, the Godowns and a certificate of the damage ob tained from Godarn Company withlo ten days after the Fessel's arrival here, after which
[no Claims will be recognised, DODWELL & Co., LIMITED,
General Agents. “
We Hangkong, 15th October. roer.
M. A RITCHIE,
Superintendent, Hongkong 31st October, thor
BECULAR STEAMSHIP SERVICE PACIFIC HAIL STEAMSHIP COMPANY.
in Cloths, Canvasses, and
Hongkong, 30th August, root."
обос
"TO NEW YORK, VIA PORTS AND SUEZ CANAL.
List of Registered Covers in Foste Restante Ducks Complete Gentlemen's Outfitting,
Andrews, Wm.
Abbas Khan.
Angudhia, M. S.
Ameer Shah..
Atlantis, Miss I. (3) Altmann, W. Attama Singh Amjad Khan (2) Avilis, V.J. Ajaib Singh
Kosha Singh
Lawan Singh
Loing, L...
Litton, G. (London,)
Lall Singh Loyyd, Tom
Lawrence, J.
Mone, (Terashing) Meter, W. H. Martin, H.J.
EST ASSORTMENT A CON GIRAULT for the best and GREAT-
LEVY HERMANOS,
DAM
LAMOND "MERCHANTS, JEWEL LERS ARD WATCHMAKERS.
FASTMAN'S
- KODAKS and FILMS.- Sole Agents for OMEGA" WATCHES.
OMEGA" is the best, "THREE YEARS" narazten giyen to every purchaser.
"QUEENS ROAD"
Varson'■,Buliding.:
NOTICE
PROPOSED SAILINGS. FROM HONGKONG CONSIGNEES of CARGO per Steamship RICHMOND CASTLE.gth Nov."
LENNOX"
KURDISTAN"..
ORONSAY "
“HILLGLEN"
"AFRIDI
LOWTHER CASTLE
30th Nov 15th Dec 31st. Dec.
For Freight and further information, apply
to Mange men de DODWELL, & Co, LIMITED "Agents. “Hongkang, 4th November 1907
PERU
The above Steamerhávingárrived, Consignees
of Cargo are hereby requested to send in their Bills of Lading for countersignature, and to take immediate delivery of their Goods from alongside
Cargo impeding the discharge of the Vessel will be landed and, stored at Consignees r and expense.
GEORGE ECKLEY,
Acting Agent). Hongkong, 4th November, 190n me
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