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THE CHINA MAIL, DECEMBER 26, 1939
MIRROR OF WORLD
OPINION
U.S. AND JAPAN
It is noteworthy that public dis- cussion in the United. States also..is growing ever more lively in regard to the Japanese-American commercial pact issue, with the time limit for abrogation of the pact of which the United States Government notified Japan so abruptly on July 20 last fast approaching the pact is to be abrogated after January 25 next pend- ing conclusion of a new commercial pact to replace the existing one.
The direct cause for this apparently now growing heated discussion in the United States on this issue is an article published in the Baltimore Sun, which is from the pen of the paper's Wash- ington correspondent, Frederick Es- sary. Mr. Essary, in the article, writes that the American State Department is gravely apprehensive of possibility of Japan running to the Russian side in the event that the adjustment of Ja- panese-American relations becomes impossible on account of the aggrava- tion of the commercial treaty issue. American Congress, Mr. Essary also writes, is being feared by the State Department quarters as likely to bring up again in that event the old question of carrying out an arms embargo against Japan, and any Congressional resolution to be passed thereof, Mr. Essary learns, from the same quarters, would have only the adverse effect of pouring oil on the burning flames. He thus understands that the State De- partment authorities are desiring con- tinuation of amicable relationship be- tween Japan and the United States without making careless use of its powerful armed force to exert pressure on Japan but by trying to adjust cleverly the two nations' claims and stands as regards the China question. -"Asahi Shimbun."
*
✡
舜
SOMEONE BLUNDERED
How long Germany can wage war, and with what prospect of success, is a question exercising the talents of government experts in several coun- tries. In all their estimates, speculation in some "measure is "necessarily pre- sent. The knowledge whether Reichs- fuhrer Hitler deliberately chose war with Britain and France or whether he blundered into it on the assump- tion that these nations would not fight this would help toward an estimate of Germany's real strength.
explain why he risked the Russian partnership. Had that last gigantic bluff worked, Herr Hitler might have
had Poland and
peace-his kind of peace, a spectacular victory over the western democracies and some gains at the expense of the Soviet, granted unwittingly by Stalin's own hand.
But if somebody blundered, it wasn't Stalin. "Christian Science Monitor."
·
STUDENT THOUGHT
"As long as a totalitarianism is left strong enough to enforce its message over the world, no pause from arms can be more than a recess.
The president of Columbia University said the other day that America has a share in war guilt because she has not done her duty in helping find and eliminate causes of war. This should be a challenge to students."—"Daily Maroon,” University of Chicago.
*
"ERRONEOUS"
Advent of a state of non-treaty be- tween Japan and the United States is
But neither welcome to this nation. what Japan is seriously concerned about is not so much about the exis- tence or otherwise of the Japanese- American commercial treaty as about how to secure peace in the Pacific. If the Roosevelt Administration should ever labour under the erroneous im- pression that it can achieve materiali- sation of
Eastern its designed Far policy by mere implication of the ad- vent of a state of non-treaty and by its threats of exerting economic and naval pressure on Japan, nothing could be more seriously mistaken in its views cherished as to the fundamentals of Japan's peace policy vis-a-vis the United States.-"Nichi-Nichi."
*
✡
罪
ITALY'S STAND
Italy can undoubtedly hope for far more booty from a German victory than from a victory of the Allies, since the territories which might be torn from defeated Britain and France--- can be measured in millions of square miles. But there will be no booty at all unless there is victory. So Italy's choice must be governed not by the extent of possible gains, but by which side appears destined to win. Once that issue is clear to her leaders, she can hope to extract a heavy price from them for unleashing an 'assault upon the rear of their enemies.
If Herr Hitler deliberately chose war against two powerful nations in addition to Poland, one might assume he counted on the material equipment of the Third Reich to carry it through. But if he blundered into it, relying on bluff to win the day, it was not on German strength but on his own cleverness that he may have relied. some
Thus the disclosure by Reikichi ger.
Kita, member of
Already there is evidence of manoeuvering towards a position which will permit a move in either direction. Rome supported Hitler's peace drive because its success would bring her concessions- without, any
But simultaneously
THE VICTORY
"Once. Democracy strips Itself of the fear of having to fight a war, should all other methods fall or prove inefficient, Demo- cracy has
"-Count Ferdinand Czernin.
won.
the Japanese House of Representatives, indicating Herr Hitler did not be- lieve Britain and France would 3ght, is extremely inter- Kita esting. Mr. says that a Japan- ese industrialist who was invited to the Nazi rally at Nuremberg, but who decided because of the crisis to go immediately to Stockholm, was urged in a note from Herr Hitler to stay in Germany be- cause there would not be war.
It was not possible for the Allied diplomats, in direct negotiation with Herr Hitler, to know certainly whether he was really ready, to face..a major war. Many assessed his boldness as bluff. Some appear to have felt that at the last moment,, Herr Hitler be- gan to realise what he was up against but decided to go ahead even into gen- eral war. Mr. Kita's report; support ing the views of those who bellave Herr Hitler blundered, helps also to
a
dan- she
swung carefully away from the role of German ally to place in the middle of the road--possi- bly even farther away than that. Care is imposed not only by fear of Ber- lin, but also by fear. of the effect on Mussolini's prestige of too rapid a swing from his disastrous Axis policy.
·
Indications of this development are improving relations with London, and Paris and attacks in the controlled Italian press upon Germany's Russian supporter, the last of which lay a basis for the growth of a coolness towards Germany herself. What recent Cabinet changes portend it is too early to state definitely.
If the final outcome of the war is what the American people expect, the victory of the Allies, this development · may be expected te proceed to its logi- cali conclusion and make Italy one of the Allies when that victory is won. --"Livington Hartley."
THE CHINA MAIL, DECEMBER 26, 1939