TNAG-2749-FCO40-3964-Economic-situation-in-Hong-Kong-1993 — Page 79

FCO40 Hong Kong Department Records 聯邦事務部香港部檔案 All

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that Moody's gave to me over the telephone (in July) for the best sovereign or quasi-sovereign (MTRC in the case of Hong Kong) long term rating placed Hong Kong below Thailand, Malaysia and Korea.

Moody's Sovereign Long Term ratings (in descending order).

Investment Grade

AAA Japan

AA3 Singapore

A1

Korea

A2

A2

Malaysia

Thailand

A3 HK (MTRC senior debt)

Speculative Grade

BAA1 Bank of China

BA2 India

6. It might be of interest to know that Hong Kong domestic debt is rated higher (at AA2) suggesting that foreign debt bears primarily a foreign exchange rate risk. Points about the strength of the exchange fund reserves could be usefully be deployed in this context.

Clutaph 11

Christopher Lane Economic Advisers WH426b 270 2727

20 September 1993

P.S. The approximate cost of the downgrading by one notch

10-15 basis points (ie 0.11%- 0.15%). MTRC

maximum debt for PADOS

Extra

is

is

HU$ 37.5 Bn (May 193 plan) or US$ 4.8 bn.

interest cost to

would MTRC fully drawn. This

Hhovefore

be as 4.8 -7.2 million per year would decline over time

when debt is

as

elebt is

repaid by

2008

Os

scheduled.

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