TNAG-2466-FCO40-3590-Economic-situation-in-Hong-Kong-1992 — Page 25

FCO40 Hong Kong Department Records 聯邦事務部香港部檔案 All

Mur Stone Thank you

pa.

Ра

(To note

Mar Porter's Comments

23/16ل

HUB 090/1

FROM: M V Stone

Hong Kong Department

DATE: 17 June 1992

cc: PS/Mr Goodlad

Mr Hum

Mr Broadbent,

Economic Advisers

Mr Ricketts

PS/Mr Patten

HONG KONG: THE LINKED EXCHANGE RATE SYSTEM

A HhB 10 246

1. On a copy of my submission of 12 May on senior Treasury impressions of Hong Kong, Mr Patten said that he would be

grateful for a note explaining the linked exchange rate, its

history and its practice.

2.

I now attach a note, which has been cleared with Economic Advisers, which sets the position out briefly.

Nihil v Stare.

M V Stone

при

V.u

seful

21

6

ta

и

The clearest exposition I have of the theory tehind the link is in He

attached paper whid we gave the Chinese in 1987 fie tefore the Accounting Arrangements) The link works because the markets have come to believe

in its permanence. If it was once changed (eg to help He fight against inflation) Hat Certainty would be lost, and the markets would be more likely to speculate à anticipatio of hither changes if the political going sol rough.

MVSAGP/1

SLM

a revaluation

Paluth

13/1

اتها

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