SECRET
MDADAN
750
36
TO BRING A CONSIDERABLE A AMLOUNT OF PRESSURE TO BEAR ON THE INDEPENDENT MEMBERS IN PARTICULAR. BUT OUR PRESENT COUNT IS THAT WE ARE LIKELY TO HAVE A HARD CORE OF SUPPORT OF 24 MEMBERS, WHICH MEANS 27 VOTES WHEN THE OFFICIAL MEMBERS ARE INCLUDED. WE EXPECT A FAIR PROPORTION OF THE REMAINDER TO ABSTAIN AT WORST
RATHER THAN TO VOTE AGAINST. WE UNDERSTAND THAT THE CHINESE THEMSELVES ARE ONLY COUNTING ON 6 FIRM VOTES ON THEIR SIDE.
10. WE MAY NEED TO CONSIDER A MEETING BETWEEN YOU AND QIAN
QICHEN AT SOME POINT. THERE ARE ALREADY RUMOURS IN THE LOCAL
MEDIA THAT THE CHINESE WILL PRESS FOR A MEETING. THE NEXT SIX- MONTHLY MEETING WOULD NOT BE DUE UNTIL MARCH/APRIL, WHICH WOULD BE TOO LATE: SO IT MAY BE WORTH LOOKING AT DIARY POSSIBILITIES. BUT THIS CAN BE DISCUSSED WHEN I AM BACK IN NOVEMBER, TOGETHER WITH OTHER PLANS FOR THE END GAME.
PATTEN
YYYY
ADVANCE
3
MR HUM
N N N N
DISTRIBUTION
3
HKD//HD
PAGE
SECRET
3
No comments yet.
Private notes are available after approval.