RESTRICTED
(b) Medium impact
magnitude
products
-
Th B
impact
if the new import
competitors.
are
close to
will he MF mo..iiim
nricae of China
those of other
If the China products dominate the
all other suppliers are ready to
larger proportion of the market
US market. not
take UD a much
due to capacity constraints or other reasons.
such
circumstances.
the
impact will
In
he
の声
'medium-low magnitude and it is estimated that
exports of China of these producte will decreage
by 30-50%.
On the other hand. if the China
products account for a small or not dominant
share in the US market (i.e. the market is
competitive),
many other suppliers will be able
to
take up much though probably not all of the
market share which China mav lose
circumstances,
the
impact
will
qytཀh
be of
'medium-high' magnitude and it is estimated that
exports of China of these products to the TIS will
decrease by 50-70%.
-
(c) High impact
import prices of China products are much higher
than those of its competitors
The impact will be high if the now
Moreover if
China's share in the US market of such products is relatively small. other competitors wil7 he able to take up most of the market share lost by
China.
In such circumstances. it is estimated
Chal exports of unina of these products to the US
will decrease by 70-80%-
These
assessments
are
by and large judgemental and AYO
subject to many limitations. including in particular that
of data availability and comparability.
(19)
No comments yet.
Private notes are available after approval.