TNAG-2195-FCO40-3132-Hong-Kong-nationality-package-1990 — Page 103

FCO40 Hong Kong Department Records 聯邦事務部香港部檔案 All

Average family size in Hong Kong is [

ultiplier been selected?

1.

Why has a higher

Our scheme is likely to focus on people in their 30s and

40s, whose family size will tend to be larger than the

average. Our estimate of the most appropriate multiplier

takes account of this and of accretions through birth into

the next century. However, we are increasingly confident

that the multiplier of 4.5, which was implied by the Foreign

Secretary's illustrative estimate of 225,000 given in

December, represents an upper limit.

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