TNAG-2190-FCO40-3127-Hong-Kong-nationality-package-1990 — Page 154

CONFIDENTIAL

FM FCO

TO PRIORITY HONG KONG

TELNO 408

OF 2119OOZ FEBRUARY 90

INFO PRIORITY BTC HONG KONG

94

CONFIDENTIAL

109

167456

MDLOAN 6262

HCD 340/14

RECEIVED IN REGISTRY

1 1 APR 1990

REVOTHY

Action TakƐ!!

DESK OFFICER

YOUR TELNO 576: UK NATIONALITY PACKAGE: INSЄMP POLA

-

1. AS YOU WILL BE AWARE, THE RESULTS OF THE SCMP POLL HAVE ALREADY BEEN USED TO GOOD EFFECT BY THOSE OPPOSED TO THE NATIONALITY SCHEME EG MR KAUFMANN IN THE DEBATE ON THE STATEMENT ON 16 FEBRUARY. 2. WE ARE GRATEFUL FOR THE ANALYSIS IN PARAS 1 4 OF TUR. BUT WE WILL PROBABLY NEED MORE DETAILED ARGUMENTS IF WE ARE TO COUNTER THIS KIND OF ATTACK EFFECTIVELY. FOR EXAMPLE, ONE ENCOURAGING RESULT OF THE SCMP POLL WAS THAT THE NUMBER OF PEOPLE INTENDING TO EMIGRATE OVERALL APPEARS TO HAVE DROPPED FROM 20 PER CENT TO FIFTEEN PERCENT IN THE LAST QUARTER, WHILE THE NUMBER OF PROFESSIONALS, EXECUTIVES AND ENTREPRENEURS INTENDING TO EMIGRATE DROPPED FROM THIRTY FOUR PER CENT TO TWENTY SIX PER CENT OVER THE SAME PERIOD. ARE THERE ANY OTHER BULL POINTS TO WHICH WE COULD DRAW ATTENTION OR ANY OTHER CONFIDENCE INDICATORS TO WHICH WE COULD REFER ?

3.

WOULD IT ALSO BE POSSIBLE TO FIND OUT FROM THE POLLSTERS WHAT THEIR SAMPLING METHOD WAS AND WHETHER THE QUESTIONS AND ANSWERS PUBLISHED FORM PART OF A LARGER SURVEY?

HURD

YYYY

DISTRIBUTION

78

MAIN

67

.HK AGREEMENT NATIONALITY

LIMITED

HKD

HD/FED

HD /NTD

HD/CONSULAR D

NEWS D

PUSD

ADDITIONAL

11

HK AGREEMENT NATIONALITY

NNNN

PS

PS/MR MAUDE

PS/LORD BRABAZON

PS/PUS

MR GILLMORE

MR MCLAREN

MR BLATHERWICK

MISS SPENCER

PAGE

1

CONFIDENTIAL