CONFIDENTIAL
FM FCO
TO PRIORITY HONG KONG
TELNO 408
OF 2119OOZ FEBRUARY 90
INFO PRIORITY BTC HONG KONG
94
CONFIDENTIAL
109
167456
MDLOAN 6262
HCD 340/14
RECEIVED IN REGISTRY
1 1 APR 1990
REVOTHY
Action TakƐ!!
DESK OFFICER
YOUR TELNO 576: UK NATIONALITY PACKAGE: INSЄMP POLA
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1. AS YOU WILL BE AWARE, THE RESULTS OF THE SCMP POLL HAVE ALREADY BEEN USED TO GOOD EFFECT BY THOSE OPPOSED TO THE NATIONALITY SCHEME EG MR KAUFMANN IN THE DEBATE ON THE STATEMENT ON 16 FEBRUARY. 2. WE ARE GRATEFUL FOR THE ANALYSIS IN PARAS 1 4 OF TUR. BUT WE WILL PROBABLY NEED MORE DETAILED ARGUMENTS IF WE ARE TO COUNTER THIS KIND OF ATTACK EFFECTIVELY. FOR EXAMPLE, ONE ENCOURAGING RESULT OF THE SCMP POLL WAS THAT THE NUMBER OF PEOPLE INTENDING TO EMIGRATE OVERALL APPEARS TO HAVE DROPPED FROM 20 PER CENT TO FIFTEEN PERCENT IN THE LAST QUARTER, WHILE THE NUMBER OF PROFESSIONALS, EXECUTIVES AND ENTREPRENEURS INTENDING TO EMIGRATE DROPPED FROM THIRTY FOUR PER CENT TO TWENTY SIX PER CENT OVER THE SAME PERIOD. ARE THERE ANY OTHER BULL POINTS TO WHICH WE COULD DRAW ATTENTION OR ANY OTHER CONFIDENCE INDICATORS TO WHICH WE COULD REFER ?
3.
WOULD IT ALSO BE POSSIBLE TO FIND OUT FROM THE POLLSTERS WHAT THEIR SAMPLING METHOD WAS AND WHETHER THE QUESTIONS AND ANSWERS PUBLISHED FORM PART OF A LARGER SURVEY?
HURD
YYYY
DISTRIBUTION
78
MAIN
67
.HK AGREEMENT NATIONALITY
LIMITED
HKD
HD/FED
HD /NTD
HD/CONSULAR D
NEWS D
PUSD
ADDITIONAL
11
HK AGREEMENT NATIONALITY
NNNN
PS
PS/MR MAUDE
PS/LORD BRABAZON
PS/PUS
MR GILLMORE
MR MCLAREN
MR BLATHERWICK
MISS SPENCER
PAGE
1
CONFIDENTIAL