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time might be approaching when the Soviet Union would be
willing to talk seriously about the Northern Territories. inhibition about opening up territorial issues was now less
irrelevant and strategic concerns were greatly reduced. The
fact that the post World War II peace settlement was now under
way in Europe meant that sooner or later there would be an Asian
peace settlement too. In other respects the thaw was reaching
the Far East. China and Indonesia were resuming relations;
Gorbachev had met Roh Tae Woo; and there was now to be a meeting
between the two Koreas. Against this background a change in
Soviet-Japanese relations became more probable (Fujii).
But
For a long time to come the Japanese approach to Eastern Europe
would be one of fact finding and establishing relationships.
for the longer term there was great respect for the skilled work forces there and Japanese firms would eventually invest.
Eastern Europe might not take too long to catch up with the West
(Ishihara).
Need for some overarching structure to bring Japan closer to
Europe (Lord Jenkins). In reply: UK has been working for just
that through extending the G7 arrangements, the CSCE, and the
recent NATO seminar (Cooper).
What was Japan expected to do with its money? India and the
ASEAN countries were urging Japan not to invest in Eastern
Europe; Europeans were doing the opposite. The United States
was insisting that Japan should invest more in its own
infrastructure. Others said that Japan should give more
development aid. The real drag on development was in fact the
US deficit. So long as this remained the US would be such an
attractive location for capital assets that no-one would think
of investing elsewhere (Oba).
Soviet economic development would depend overwhelmingly on raw
materials and the Far East was a decisive area. So Japan would
matter for the economic development of the Soviet Union. This
RC1AAZ/2
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