TNAG-2013-FCO40-2865A-Constitutional-development-in-Hong-Kong-1991-1990 — Page 66

FCO40 Hong Kong Department Records 聯邦事務部香港部檔案 All

(c) lowering the voting age to 18 would involve constitutional change and thus violate the

provisions of the Sino-British Joint Declaration;

(d) too rapid and drastic a change to the present system would adversely affect the stability and

prosperity of Hong Kong; and

(e) lowering the voting age to 18 would benefit disproportionately candidates from the education

sector.

17.8 The most common reasons given for lowering the age of entitlement to vote to 18 were that:

(a) giving voting rights to 18-year-olds would promote their civic awareness;

(b) 18-year-olds were adequately mature and knowledgeable;

(c) 18-year-olds were already regarded as adults for other purposes; and

(d) lowering the voting age to 18 would increase the size of the electorate and hence the

representativeness of elections.

B. PUBLIC OPINION SURVEYS

17.9 The two surveys commissioned by the Office showed the following results:

Options

(1) The voting age should remain at 21 years

(2) Lower to 18 years

(3) Don't know/no opinion

(Number of respondents)

AGB McNair HK Ltd.

1st survey

2nd survey

%

%

64

67

22

17

14

16

(3 007)

(3 002)

17.10 A total of 103 surveys conducted by or on behalf of other organisations covered this subject, of which 22 involved probability (random) sampling and 81 involved no such sampling.

17.11 The following table broadly summarises the findings of the 22 surveys involving probability (random) sampling, of which three targeted the entire adult population and 19 targeted specific groups. The sample sizes of these surveys ranged from 88 to 1 334 respondents.

Summarised Options

Surveys covering entire adult population

Survey Research

Hong Kong Ltd.

(I survey)

Marketing Decision

Research Co. Ltd. (1 survey)

Concerned Staff of Tertiary Educational

Institutions for Constitutional Development

(1 survey)

Surveys covering

specific population

groups (19 surveys)

%

%

%

%

To make no change to the voting age, i.e. to remain at 21 years

63

46

70

37 to 77

To lower the age to 18 years

24

34

18

19 to 54

Other views/no comment/no opinion

13

20

12

1 to 54

17.12 The following table broadly summarises the findings of the 81 surveys involving no probability (random) sampling, of which 79 covered 33 640 individuals and two covered 611 groups, associations or other bodies.

Summarised Options

Number of Individuals

Number of groups, associations or

To make no change to the voting age, i.e. to remain at 21 years

To lower the age to 18 years

Other views/no comment/no opinion

68

other bodies

22 347

478

7 180

114

4 113

19

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