CONFIDENTIAL
I
5 -
Internal Social and Political Implications
11.
Many people who took part in the demonstrations in Hong Kong had never before participated in any form of political activity in the territory. But the events in China had a particular emotional dimension that does not apply to local political issues. It therefore seems unlikely that this degree of public involvement will normally carry over into purely internal matters. But the community now has an experience of mass political activity. Other issues related to China or to 1997, or even certain domestic issues, particularly if they arose during an economic downturn, could in future stimulate a similar level of response.
12.
The
of
demonstrations
were
restraint
almost entirely good-natured occasions. They represented an impressive degree
communal
and sense of responsibility. The disorder in Mongkok on the night of 6/7 June, which was quickly and efficiently brought under control by the police, paradoxically served to strengthen the community's desire not to upset Hong Kong's social stability. Nevertheless there must be some concern that the territory may become more volatile as 1997 approaches. In a city as crowded as Hong Kong, it is easy for minor incidents to flare up and get out of hand. Experience has now shown that the legal restraints on demonstrations in the Public Order Ordinance are not always enforceable. A different approach will be needed.
13.
The
demonstrations
Their
success
were
remarkably well-organised, often at very short notice, largely by the social activists of the Christian Industrial Committee.
should have greatly strengthened the pro-democracy groups. But they, and their leaders, continue to be divided among themselves on both aims and tactics. They have noticeably failed to broaden the base of their support.
14.
Apart from Martin Lee and Szeto Wah, almost no non-official members of the Executive and Legislative Councils were involved in the mass demonstrations. This initially had some effect on their credibility as community leaders. Subsequently they have responded more vigorously, both in condemning the violence in Peking and in taking up the campaign on the nationality issue. But no non-official, not even Martin Lee or Szeto Wah, has effectively been able to take the opportunity to establish credentials as a real political leader.
15.
One immediate effect of the events in Peking, even before 4 June, was the emergence of a general
CONFIDENTIAL
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