CONFIDENTIAL
074157
MDTTAN 7836
(F) TRADITIONAL POLITICAL GROUPS ARE CO-OPERATING WITH NEW POLITICAL FORCES IN SOME DISTRICTS:
URG)
(G) THE VARIOUS PRESS GROUPS ARE REPORTED TO BE SHARING EXPERIENCE AND INFORMATION RELATING TO ELECTIONEERING:
(H) IN SOME PARTICULAR CONSTITUENCIES, PRESSURE GROUPS HAVE REACHED TACIT AGREEMENT NOT TO FIELD CANDIDATES TO COMPETE AGAINST EACH OTHER: AND
(I) THE INCUMBENT LEGISLATIVE COUNCIL MEMBERS RETURNED BY THE
DISTRICT BOARDS ELECTORAL COLLEGE HAVE MADE CONSIDERABLE EFFORTS TO
FIELD OR SUPPORT CANDIDATES TO ENSURE THAT THEY WILL CONTINUE TO
ENJOY MAJORITY SUPPORT IN THE DISTRICT BOARDS AT THE NEXT ELECTIONS
TO LEGISLATIVE COUNCIL.
NINE
SINCE THE
3. THE PRESSURE GROUPS ARE CONCENTRATING THEIR EFFORTS IN
DISTRICTS WHERE THEY HAVE ALREADY ESTABLISHED STRONGHOLDS
1985 DISTRICT BOARDS ELECTIONS. THEY HAVE NOT MOVED INTO DISTRICTS
TRADITIONALLY DOMINATED BY CONSERVATIVE FORCES IN VIEW OF THEIR
LIMITED RESOURCES AND THE LIKELY SCEPTICAL RECEPTION THEY MAY RECEIVE
FROM THE RESIDENTS.
4. THE PRO-PRC CAMP IS ADOPTING A FAIRLY LOW PROFILE DESPITE THE
SIGNIFICANT NUMBER OF CANDIDATES IT IS SUPPORTING.
5. THE INFLUENCE OF THE PRO-TAIWAN CAMP IS CONFINED TO ITS
TRADITIONAL POWER BASES IN A LIMITED NUMBER OF CONSTITUENCIES. IT HAS
BEEN RUMOURED THAT SOME OF THE CANDIDATES HAVE RECEIVED FINANCIAL SUPPORT FROM TAIWAN.
·
6 OUR PRESENT ASSESSMENT IS THAT THE PRESSURE GROUPS ARE LIKELY TO
WIN THE MAJORITY OF SEATS IN TWO DISTRICTS. THE PICTURE IN OTHER
DISTRICTS IS LESS CLEAR AT THIS STAGE.
SIGNED
: D.P.H. LIAO
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CONFIDENTIAL
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