TNAG-1719-FCO40-2399-Hong-Kong-1987-Review-of-Representative-Government-1988 — Page 137

CONFIDENTIAL

CONFIDENTIAL

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ASSESSMENT OF THE POLITICAL AFFILIATION OF CANDIDATES FOR THE

1988 DISTRICT BOARDS ELECTIONS

THE 483 CANDIDATES CAN BE BROADLY DIVIDED INTO THE FOLLOWING GROUPS-

(A) PRESSURE GROUP

33 PERCENT -

(B) PRO-PRC

-

11

PERCENT

(C) PRO-TAIWAN

- 2 PERCENT

(D)

(E)

TRADITIONAL BODIES

INDEPENDENT

-

16 PERCENT

26 PERCENT

(F) OTHERS

12 PERCENT

2. THE POINTS OF INTEREST ARE

-

(A) THE DIFFERENT POLITICAL GROUPS ARE SUPPORTING CANDIDATES ON A

SELECTIVE DISTRICT BASIS AND THERE IS NO EVIDENCE TO SHOW THAT ANY

SINGLE GROUP IS EMPLOYING STRATEGIES TO SWING THE TERRITORY-WIDE

ELECTION RESULTS TO ITS FAVOUR:

(B) THE ELECTION RESULTS ARE LIKELY TO DEPEND MORE ON THE PERSONAL

APPEAL OF INDIVIDUAL CANDIDATES THAN THAT OF THEIR POLITICAL GROUPS:

(C) THERE ARE SOME INDICATIONS THAT THE PRO-PRC CAMP WOULD TEND TO

SIDE WITH THE TRADITIONAL AND CONSERVATIVE CAMP, AND VICE VERSA, SO AS TO COUNTER-BALANCE THE INFLUENCE OF THE PRESSURE GROUPS:

(D) SOME PRO-TAIWAN CANDIDATES APPEAR TO BE SIDING WITH PRESSURE

GROUPS.

(E) ABOUT HALF OF ALL THE CANDIDATES ARE CONNECTED WITH MUTUAL AID

COMMITTEES AND AREA COMMITTEES:

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