SECRET
8465 1
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LATE 1987/
EARLY 1988
OPPORTUNITY FOR US TO FORESHADOW THEMES OF WHITE
PAPER.
?VISIT TO PEKING BY SECRETARY OF STATE
-
(DEPENDING ON LIKELY OUTCOME OF REVIEW)
DESCRIBES CONTENT OF WHITE PAPER.
19.
THE CHRONOLOGY BECOMES MORE TENTATIVE AND INCOMPLETE AS
WE LOOK FURTHER AHEAD. THE EVALUATION OF HONG KONG OPINION ON
THE ISSUES COVERED IN THE REVIEW WILL OF COURSE REFLECT THE NEED
FOR CONTACTS WITH THE CHINESE. THE DIALOGUE CAN BE SUPPLEMENTED
BY DEMARCHES BY SIR R EVANS IN PEKING, AND POSSIBLY BY VISITS TO
PEKING BY SUCH SENIOR HONG KONG VISITORS AS THE NEW POLITICAL
ADVISER.
20.
WHERE TIMING IS CONCERNED, AN ADVANTAGE OF DELAYING
PUBLICATION OF THE GREEN PAPER IS IMMEDIATELY APPARENT. IF
PUBLICATION IS SCHEDULED FOR JUNE, THE SECRETARY OF STATE'S
PROPOSED STOPOVER IN PEKING DURING THE WHITSUN RECESS (LATE MAY)
CAN BE USED TO REINFORCE OUR MESSAGE ON ITS CONTENT OR TO RESOLVE
ANY REMAINING POINTS. PUBLICATION IN MAY WOULD SHARPLY REDUCE
THE UTILITY OF THE SECRETARY OF STATE'S VISIT.
21.
A CONSOLIDATED TIMETABLE OF EVENTS IN 1987 IS ANNEXED.
IT TAKES AS ITS BASIS THE QUOTE LIMITED DELAY UNQUOTE OPTION FOR
THE REVIEW DESCRIBED IN PARAS 12-13 ABOVE.
HANDLING OF THE GREEN PAPER
22.
A PARTICULARLY DIFFICULT POINT FOR US TO DECIDE IS THE
NATURE OF OUR CONTACTS WITH THE CHINESE OVER THE GREEN (AND IN
DUE COURSE, THE WHITE) PAPER. THE CHINESE HAVE ASKED FOR ENOUGH
ADVANCE NOTICE QUOTE TO PERMIT STUDY UNQUOTE. IT WOULD BE
CONSISTENT WITH PAST PRACTICE FOR US TO GIVE THE CHINESE AN
ADVANCE TEXT, BUT FORMAL CONSULTATION ON THE BASIS OF A DRAFT
WOULD EVIDENTLY LAY US OPEN TO UNDESIRABLE PRESSURES.
23.
THE FOLLOWING APPROACH MIGHT BEST RECONCILE OUR VARIOUS
OBJECTIVES:
(I)
THE THEMES TO BE COVERED IN THE GREEN PAPER, AND THE
APPROACH TO BE ADOPTED TO THE ISSUE OF DIRECT ELECTION, WOULD BE
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SECRET
I THE ROLIGHLY.
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