TNAG-1457-FCO40-1981-Relations-between-Hong-Kong-and-China-1986 — Page 148

FCO40 Hong Kong Department Records 聯邦事務部香港部檔案 All

HONG

KONG

ECONOMY

Following the signature of the Sino-British agreement,

re

confidence was established and the Hong Kong

Lest

grow th in 1984

economic

1985 was a di sappointing

amounted to 9%.

economy and

comparison,

In

y ea r but the e co nom y remains

buoyant and the long tem outlook for 1986 is good.

Background

September 1984

The removal of doubt ОП the future of the territory

Yollowing the signing of the Hong Kong agreement in

resul ted in increased investor confidence

and substantial economic expansion. In compari son 985 was

a di sappointing y ear. Real GDP growth amounted to under 1%

and domesti

ex po rts declined by 5%. The fall in domestic

be attributed to two main factors. The slow economic grow th in

ex po rt s

down in

markets

can

>

the

particula Ny

strength of the Hong Kong

Hong Kong's major ex po rt

United States and the relative

dollar, th rough its links with

of the territory's

the United States dollar, against other currencies in early

1985

which reduced the competitiveness

ex ports i in the world's markets.

The long tem outlook for 1986

appears to be good. The

devaluation of the United States do Nar last Autumn ha s

improved Hong Kong's competitiveness in Export markets and

domestic ex po rt perfo man ce should further benefit from the

ex pected

grow th in the US and other major e co nomi es.

Recent budget forecast that domestic ex po rt s

during the year by approximately 7.5%.

an expected grow th

should grow

together with

ra te for re- ex po rts of 4%, gives a

This

growth forecast of total ex po rt s for 1986 of approximately

A modest figure by

by previous Hong Kong standards but

respectable when compared to other major economies.

6%.

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