TNAG-1322-FCO40-1728-Future-of-Hong-Kong-opinion-polls-and-surveys-1984 — Page 183

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HONG KONG AGREEMENT:

1.

SRH OPINION POLL

answes will slur the overall venatios.

It is worth

I attach a copy of the questionnaire prepared by SRH for the opinion poll, partly funded by UMELCO. noting the following points:

(a)

(b)

(c)

The survey is very detailed. There are questions on every aspect of the agreement.

Question 2 is the crucial one from our point of view. It gives the respondents an alarmingly wide choice of answer. I assume we (and hopefully SRH) will regard 5, 4 or 3 a yes vote for the agreement.

On the detailed questions they will only ask a random sample to reply on particular topics. This will make the answers less scientific and less believable.

Furthermore some of the questions are so detailed that I thought only

2 an expert could answer them.

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(a)

The poll seems to be in part an educated exercise. pollsters are instructed to tell the respondents about the agreement (see x).

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CODE 18-77

(e)

Section 4 repeats question 2. The questions at the end of Section 4 are rather alarming (do you regard the agreement as a sell out? etc).

2 November 1984

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