HKK 040/1/
27 JUL 1983
RECEIVED IN REGISTRY
DESK OFFICER
INDEX
PA
REGISTRY
Action Taken i
GR 2,400
CONFIDENTIAL
CONFIDENTIAL
AMENDED DISTRIBUTION
1-7-83
FM WASHINGTON 3021OOZ
PA
TO IMMEDIATE FCO
TELEGRAM NUMBER 1828 OF 30 JUNE 1983
MY TELNO 1725: MR SHULTZ'S VISIT TO LONDON: 4 6 JULY
1. SHULTZ WILL BE PASSING THROUGH LONDON ON HIS WAY BACK FROM THE PHILIPPINES, BANGKOK (FOR THE ASEAN MINISTERIAL MEETING), INDIA AND PAKISTAN. AFTER A ROUND THE WORLD JOURNEY, HE WILL BE TIRED AND DOES NOT REGARD THE TALKS AS A SUBSTITUTE FOR THE FULLER DISCUSSIONS HE WILL HAVE WITH YOU HERE ON 14 JULY. THERE
4S STILL A POSSIBILITY THAT HE MAY HAVE TO STOP OFF IN THE MIDDLE EAST, BUT ON THE PRESENT PLANS HE IS LOOKING FORWARD TO SEEING YOU ON 5 JULY.
ALTHOUGH SHULTZ KNOWS YOU AND THE PRIME MINISTER WELL, THIS WILL BE HIS FIRST VISIT TO LONDON SINCE THE ELECTION AND YOUR APPOINTMENT AS SECRETARY OF STATE. I THINK HE WOULD FIND IF HELPFUL IF YOU COULD SET YOUR THINKING ABOUT SPECIFIC ITEMS IN AWIDER FRAMEWORK BY OUTLINING TO SHULTZ WHAT YOU AND THE PRIME MINISTER SEE AS THE GUIDING ELEMENTS OF OUR POLICY IN THE PERIOD AHEAD. IT WILL BE WORTH EMPHASIS ING THAT THE ELECTION RESULT PUTS BEYOND DISPUTE OUR COLECTIVE AND BILATERAL DEFENCE COMITMENTS (US BASES, INF DEPLOYMENT, TRIDENT ETC) OUR EC MEMBERSHIP AND OPPOSITION TO PROTECTIONISME. HE WILL NO DOUBT WISH TO DO THE SAME WITH YOU, PERHAPS WITH SOME NATURAL EMPHASIS ON THE AREA HE HAS JUST BEEN VISITING AND PARTICULARLY
ON US RELATIONS WITH INDIA AND PAKISTAN (INCLUDING NON-PROLIFERATION AND AFGHANISTAN).
EAST/WEST RELATIONS AND ARMS CONTROL
3. THE AMERICANS, AS SHULTZ WILL MAKE CLEAR, WERE DELIGHTED AT THE ELECTION RESULT, NOT LEAST BECAUSE WITH GOVERNMENTS FIRMLY COMMITTED TO DEFENCE AND THE ALLIANCE IN WASHINGTON, BONN AND LONDON AND WITH THE FRENCH ALSO TAKING A FIRM LINE ON SECURITY ISSUES, THEY HOPE THAT THE RUSSIANS WILL NOW ACCEPT THE INEVITABILITY OF INF DEPLOYMENT AND OF NEGOTIATING WITH WESTERN GOVERNMENTS RATHER THAN CONTINUING THEIR EFFORTS TO DO SO ALMOST EXCLUSIVELY WITH PUBLIC OPINION. SHULTZ'S SPEECH TO THE SENATE FOREIGN RELATIONS COMMITTEE WAS AN ATTEMPT TO ESTABLISH A COHERENT FRAMEWORK FOR THE CONDUCT OF EAST/WEST RELATIONS AND
SHULTZ HAS BEEN TRYING TO PROBE THE SOVIET POSITION IN HIS
TALKS WITH DOBRYNIN, THE DIFFICULTY IS IN READING SOVIET INTENTIONS (MOSCOW TELNO 701 TO YOU). THE AMERICANS HAVE NO WAY YET OF KNOWING WHETHER THE RUSSIANS ARE PREPARED TO DO SERIOUS BUSINESS OR INTEND TO RETREAT INTO THEIR LAAGER UNTIL AFTER THE 1984 ELECTIONS HERE. THE AMERICANS EXPECT THE RUSSIANS TO REACT SHARPLY TO
WESTERN INF DEPLOYMENT WHEN IT TAKES PLACE. SO WE NEED TO START CLEARING OUR MINDS NOW AS TO THE VARIOUS POSSIBLE SOVIET RESPONSES
AND HOW WE MIGHT REACT TO THEM.
CONFIDENTIAL
14. YOUR
10
No comments yet.
Private notes are available after approval.