TNAG-1175-FCO40-1477-Proposed-replacement-airport-for-Hong-Kong-at-Deep-Bay-or-Ch-1982 — Page 115

FCO40 Hong Kong Department Records 聯邦事務部香港部檔案 All

1.6

1.7

debt financing.

Projections will be designed to use data

developed by the accounting systems used at Kal. Tak. In

preparing projections account will be taken of the

contemplated pre-operating revenues of the Airport.

In preparing revenue projections consultants will consider

anticipated activity at other nearby airports in order to

assess utilisation of Hong Kong as a a stop-over or feeder

point for flights originating elsewhere in the region and

to take account of the likely impact of aggressive

marketing programmes attracting tourist and other traffic

from the Airport.

Historical data for other recently built airports (such as Singapore, Tokyo and Manila) will be reviewed, as

available, to test the assumptions made for the Airport.

Appropriate adjustment factors will be built into the

revenue projections reflecting alternative assumptions so

reached regarding the market position of the Airport in

the South East Asian region.

1.8

Based upon the results achieved under 1.5, 1.6 and 1.7

above, consultants will develop a base case revenue

projection for each major revenue item and an aggregate revenue projection for the Airport as a whole. This will

include income from land or premises within the Airport

subject to the Government's Land Policies. The base case

projections will be used directly in development of a financial plan as described subsequently and as the basis

for sensitivity analyses to be conducted under Task 4.

2

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