TNAG-1140-FCO40-1420-Quarterly-progress-reports-on-Hong-Kong-1982 — Page 52

CONFIDENTIAL

Senior Secondary Education

Form IV V

(1 August 1982 to 31 October 1982)

Table C

FCO Tabular Progress Report

School Year Starting in

September

1962-93

1983-84

F.IV

F.IV-V F.IV P.IV-V F.IV

1984-85

1985-86

1986-87

1987-88

1988-89

1989-90

F.IV-V P.IV

F.IV-V

F.IV F.IV-V

F.IV

F.IV-V

F.IV

F.IV-V F.IV

1990-91

F.IV-V F.IV F.IV-V

Population in the

relevant age group

(15 year old for F.IV and

95200

196700 90300

185700 87400

177800 86800 174300

87500 174400

88400 176000

89000 177500 89000 178100

87500 176600

15-16 for F.IV-V)

Planned Provision

(of age group)

54550

(57%)

109869 (56%)

56020 (62%)

110570 56160 (60%) (64%)

(63%)

112135 57440 113600

(66%) (65%)

57800 115240 57680 115480 (60%) (66%) (65%) (66%)

57600 115280 57520 (65%) (65%) (65%)

115120 (65%)

57680 (666) (65%)

115200

Notes:

(1)

The 1978 White Paper on the Development of Senior Secondary and Tertiary Education stated the Government's intention to increase the number of subsidised school places for Form III leavers to about 57,000. This target was envisaged to provide for about 60% of the 15 year-old population in September 1981 and over 70% by September 1986. Nevertheless, the size of the 15 year-old în 1981 is estimated to be 98,500, an increase of 3,050 over the White Paper forecast.

(2) These figures reflect the number of places arising from projects

for which financial approval has been received. These include stage I-IV of the School Building Programme. The demand figures have been taken into account the impact of the current and likely future trends in immigration (based on the 1979 Population Projection which assumes that the level of legal and illegal immigration from China will taper off in 1981).

CREDENTIAL