TNAG-1066-FCO40-1316-Human-rights-in-Hong-Kong-1981 — Page 67

E/CN.4/1503 page 59

130. These conclusions lead on to discussion of what might be feasible in terms of prognosis and prescription, prevention and

cure.

131. In order to give birth to an "early-warning system", it would be necessary to gather, on an ongoing basis, impartial information from proven sources such as governments, the United Nations presence in the countries concerned (whether the UNDP Resident Representative, Specialized Agencies, UNIC or other) and further informed parties in order to gain an understanding of the background and all the facets of a situation, including the ethnic, economic, political and social aspects. necessity, there would be visits to the field. After assessing

all available data, an appreciation to include a number of

possible scenarios for the future development of the situation

would be given to the Secretary-General of the United Nations

and to the competent intergovernmental organs.

Of

132. A "trigger mechanism" would be provided by the Secretary- General deciding, after due study of the material and using his executive authority, what action would be required on the

part of the United Nations.

The Secretary-General might call

for further study of the situation, including discussion

with the government or governments most closely concerned

and/or with the appropriate regional body (Arab League, Council

of Europe, Organization of African Unity, Organization of American States) to try to determine how regional containment

of the problem cold be achieved, to save it becoming inter-

nationalized (that is to say requiring involvement of large- scale United Nations operations).