RMP
BACKGROUND
The Civil Aviation Department's planning studies, conducted to establish a basis for facility needs, have consistently indicated that Kai Tak would experience severe congestion beginning sometime in the late 1970s. Departmental forecasts made in 1965 indicated growth rates likely to overextend Kai Tak before 1980. By the early 1970s, it was clear that the forecasts were reasonably accurate and a thorough study of alternatives was indicated. In March 1972, the CAD solicited proposals to conduct a long-term planning investigation. Proposal preparation, deliberation, and negotiation consumed the balance of the year and extended into 1973. In April 1973, the study was begun; this paper concludes and summarizes the project.
The goal of the study has been to provide the Government with sufficient information for policy decisions regarding the future of civil aviation in Hong Kong. To this end, the Consultants were to:
• Examine the adequacy of existing and planned air transport system facilities against a background of long-term forecasts of unconstrained demand for air services and related technological development.
• Identify all viable system development alternatives.
• Formulate alternative courses of action open to Government with respect to meeting or restraining growth in demand with predictions of social and economic costs and benefits to Hong Kong associated with each.
• Select and recommend an alternative program for providing continuing air transport service to the public.
• Develop a plan for the selected alternative with associated requirements, benefits, costs, and schedules.
A Steering Group received presentations by the Consultants and advised CAD concerning the project. The studies are documented in eight working papers and a comprehensive technical summary, supple- mented by minutes of the Steering Group meetings and several technical memoranda. The documents relating to the development of the study are listed in the Appendix.
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