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ANNOX A to
(Continent)
virtually the entire resources of the ATF.
44.
Other Peacekeeping Operations. It is possible that the UK
may be obliged to mount a military intervention in an attempt to
restore law and order in Rhodesia. For the moment Ministers ere
not contemplating unilateral military intervention (18) or any
attempt to restore law and order throughout the country
•
But it
would be politically impossible for the UK to ignore a steadily
deterioriating situation in which British passport holders
were at risk and which was beyond the scope of a Protected
Evacuation Operation.
45.
Evacuations. There is a high risk of Protected or Assisted
Evacuations being required from Rhodesia, Lebanon, Zamibia, Zaire,
Uganda, Jamaica and Guyana. A lesser risk applies to /21/ other
countries. The entire ATF and a protection force built around a
battalion group are required to mount a protected operation to
evacuate a community of 2000 people to a safe haven.
46. Other potential commitments.
Rapid response may be required
to a developing IS emergency in the Carribean; deterrent deployments
may be required in the S Atlantic, and additional ships, aircraft and
ground forces may be required for CENTO exercises, and resources may
be required for protection of shipping and for provision of increased
military aid to the third world. These, however are assesood as
unlikely to pose problems of the same magnitude as the other
potential commitments.
Note:
18. Gen 12(79) 4th Meeting Item 2.
26 SECRET
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