SECRET
ANNEX A to
DF 17778(C) (Preliminary Draft) (Continued)
the DIS stress that it is virtually impossible to provide a realistic
assessment of potential trouble spots up to five years ahead.
No assessment has therefore been attempted of the likelihood of two
or more major operations being required at the same time.
Stationed Forces
42.
Reinforcement. Requirements to reinforce the Garrison in
Hong Kong and further reinforce the Belize Garrison are possible.
Less likely, (but it is difficult to be precise) would be a need
to enhance the UK forces in Cyprus or the detachment in the Falkland
Islands. It may also be necessary to implement one or more of the
Gibraltar Joint Theatre Plans. Taking the Reinforcement of Hong
Kong as the operation which would have most impact on NATO:
a.
One UK Battalion would be required (the second battalion
would be drawn from Brunei until September 1983).
b.
7 VC10 and 7 Hercules aircraft would be required
and cancellations of scheduled, exercise and special flights
would result.
Other Commitments
43. United Nations Peacekeeping Operations. Additional UN
Peacekeeping commitments are likely in Namibia, probable
in Rhodesia, possible in the Middle East and conceivable in
the Horn of Africa. Subject to Ministers agreeing the recom-
mendations of the Chiefs of Staff, the UK contribution to these
operations would consist of one infantry battalion group for up
to six months. The initial airlift of this force would require
25
A SECRET
No comments yet.
Private notes are available after approval.