CONFIDENTIAL
DSR UC
Government to put the Spey engine sale through despite
But the Americans are likely to
objections in COCOM.
draw a distinction between:
(a) Weapons and defence equipment, particularly
of advanced technology and therefore beyond
China's capacity to produce for herself, which
would increase China's offensive and/or long-
range capacity;
(b) Non-strategic, so-called "defensive"
weapons and defence equipment;
(c) Industrial equipment related to defence;
(a) Defence technology and know-how.
The Americans will almost certainly oppose sales falling
unambiguously within (a), both for reasons connected
with China and in the light of President Carter's policy
on the limitation of conventional arms transfers. (Both
Harriers and (because of Taiwan) marine propulsion units
might be seen by the Administration as falling in
category (a); we would dispute this.) On (b) there
may be divided counsels. Some Americans may argue in
favour of arms sales as a means of strengthening China
against the Soviet Union, but at present there is an
influential stream of thought in the Administration
that even so-called "defensive" sales might so offend
the Soviet Union as to affect US-Soviet and East-West
relations (eg SALT, MBFR).
Many would probably object
/also
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