TNAG-0638-FCO40-786-Supplies-of-electricity-for-Hong-Kong-1977 — Page 112

C.S. 166

E

CONFIDENTIAL #

機密

Plant requirements

8

To determine how this demand might be met, CLF produced a detailed "generation plan" of the additions to plant that would be necessary and the date by which such plant would need to be commissioned in order to maintain the supply of electricity at the lowest possible cost.

The necessary increase in capacity is shown below and an outline of the assumptions behind the generation plan is at Annex E:

Capacity

Year

Maximum

demand

Total

MW

MW

1977

1328

2152

800

New additions

Type of equip-

ment

Oil fired

Tsing Yi (74)

1978

1428

2152

1979

1535

2152

1980

1653

2152

1981

1783

2252

100

Gas Turbine

-

Tsing Yi (GT)

1382

1924

2602

350

Dual Fired (Coal

and Oil)*

1983

2074

2952

350

Dual Fired*

1984

2225

2952

1985

2377

3302

350

Dual Fired*

1986

2533

3302

1987

2693

3652

350

Dual Fired*

A final decision on "dual-firing" (that is coal and fuel oil) has not yet been taken.

Cost of capital expansion

S

Assuming that the 4 x 350 mw sets will be dual-fired (were CLF to decide against dual-firing capital costs would be reduced by approximately $700 million), CLF estimate the capital cost of the expansion to their generating and transmission system over the next ten years at 7, 453 million on plant, equipment, land (at full market value) and taking 8% per annum to cover inflation and currency variations:

Year

Land

Generation (including

buildings)

Transmission

and distribution

Total

$ M

$M

$M

$ M

1977

211

213

424

1978

53

43

170

266

1979

51

108

248

407

1980

15

266

281

562

1981

13

804

3 23

1, 140

1982

11

565

308

884

1983

296

3.25

621

1984

519

435

954

1985

236

435

671

1986

606

435

1, 041

435 機密

1987 CONFIDENTIAL **

483 7, 453