C.S. 166
E
CONFIDENTIAL #
機密
Plant requirements
8
To determine how this demand might be met, CLF produced a detailed "generation plan" of the additions to plant that would be necessary and the date by which such plant would need to be commissioned in order to maintain the supply of electricity at the lowest possible cost.
The necessary increase in capacity is shown below and an outline of the assumptions behind the generation plan is at Annex E:
Capacity
Year
Maximum
demand
Total
MW
MW
1977
1328
2152
800
New additions
Type of equip-
ment
Oil fired
Tsing Yi (74)
1978
1428
2152
1979
1535
2152
1980
1653
2152
1981
1783
2252
100
Gas Turbine
-
Tsing Yi (GT)
1382
1924
2602
350
Dual Fired (Coal
and Oil)*
1983
2074
2952
350
Dual Fired*
1984
2225
2952
1985
2377
3302
350
Dual Fired*
1986
2533
3302
1987
2693
3652
350
Dual Fired*
A final decision on "dual-firing" (that is coal and fuel oil) has not yet been taken.
Cost of capital expansion
S
Assuming that the 4 x 350 mw sets will be dual-fired (were CLF to decide against dual-firing capital costs would be reduced by approximately $700 million), CLF estimate the capital cost of the expansion to their generating and transmission system over the next ten years at 7, 453 million on plant, equipment, land (at full market value) and taking 8% per annum to cover inflation and currency variations:
Year
Land
Generation (including
buildings)
Transmission
and distribution
Total
$ M
$M
$M
$ M
1977
211
213
424
1978
53
43
170
266
1979
51
108
248
407
1980
15
266
281
562
1981
13
804
3 23
1, 140
1982
11
565
308
884
1983
296
3.25
621
1984
519
435
954
1985
236
435
671
1986
606
435
1, 041
435 機密
1987 CONFIDENTIAL **
483 7, 453