TNAG-0632-FCO40-780-Effect-of-GATT-Multi-Fibre-Arrangement-on-Hong-Kong-negotiat-1977 — Page 111

FCO40 Hong Kong Department Records 聯邦事務部香港部檔案 All

2.

+ B

difficult to see any logical connection between the two), those

countries with GNP far higher than Hong Kong's, which include

every member state except Ireland, should voluntarily reduce

their textile exports to a much greater extent.

Visible trade balance

5.

Bilateral visible trade balances are only one constituent

of the overall balance of payments which is the thing that matters.

6.

A so-called unfavourable bilateral balance of trade is

a natural product of the fact that the world's trading countries

are all at different stages of development and possess different

resources, in raw materials, labour, skills, manufacturing

capacity, etc.

7.

If left alone these bilateral differences should

contribute to an overall balance of advantage.

8:

If there is no such overall balance, the intervention

can be justified only by reference to the condition of the

overall balance of payments, which must take into account capital

movements and invisible trade as well as the visible trade.

9.

It follows thatthe fact that 'favourable' or

'unfavourable' balances of visible trade exist with any particular

trading partner is not in itself grounds for official intervention

to alter the situation. Does the Community intend to impose

restrictions on trade in order to reduce its visible trade

deficit with the USA? What is the Community's attitude to

China's wish to see a clear arithmetical balance of bilateral

trade between China and the Communi ty?

10.

Hong Kong, having no natural resources, depends on

exports to pay for its imports but it always has an 'unfavourable '

balance of visible trade. The gap is filled by invisible earnings.

11.

Any action to reduce Hong Kong's export earnings will

nevertheless reduce its capacity to import also. And the decline

in purchasing power will affect imports generally, not only

those purchased by the textiles and clothing industry.

/12.

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