TNAG-0507-FCO40-572-Development-of-medical-and-health-services-in-Hong-Kong-1974 — Page 135

CONFIDENTIAL Z

機密

31

Chapter 9

THE SUPPLY OF DOCTORS

9.1

The implementation of the proposals described in this

White Paper will necessarily increase the need for doctors.

9.2

On the basis of experience gained in Queen Elizabeth

and Kowloon Hospitals and in clinics, and taking into account desirable

variations in current ratios, endorsed by the MDAC, planning ratios were

established as a basis for assessing future requirements for doctors.

The MDAC concluded that to staff the forecast requirements for Government

hospital beds and consulting rooms and related facilities, and to provide

a necessary minimum professional staff for administration, would require

1,344 doctors by 1982 in the Government service. (At 1st June 1974

there were 696 Government doctors and in addition 101 housemen, giving

a total of 797). The Committee considered however that if only the

projects they proposed (to achieve 4.84 beds per 1,000 population) were

carried through, the requirement for doctors would be lower, at 1,132 (

Appendix 4 of their Report), to which a further 100 doctors should be

added to provide for administrative and other specialised services, making

a total of 1,232.

9.3

By way of comparison the MDAC estimated the likely

available supply of doctors in the Government service by 1982, on the

assumption that no new source of supply was introduced beyond the recent

expansion of the medical faculty at the University of Hong Kong which now

takes 150 students annually. The MDAC assumed a continuing average

wastage rate of 12% (retirement and resignation), recruitment by the

Government of about 70% of the new doctors qualifying in Hong Kong

each year and continuing recruitment

G.F. 323

CONFIDENTIAL

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