0003160 G.F. 316
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རེ་
para 17/6).
Local Reaction
22.
The local reaction is not considered to be a major
factor in considering the problem. The rather surprising
reaction of public opinion following the Lo Wu talks suggested
that even a hint of compromise which might lead to a "return to
normal" would be welcome. There is however the proviso that
the public might well criticise any action which provided early
release for convicted criminals and in particular those
imprisoned for violent activities and bomb planters. The choice
of suitable candidates has specifically excluded these latter
categories.
Conclusions
23.
The two main factors to consider are the balance of
advantage and the reaction of China. They are closely linked
in that the balance of advantage depends on the chances of success,
and the chances of success depend almost entirely on China. It is
thought that to attempt deportation without some indication from
China that she will accept the people would be taking a high
degree of risk. If such an indication is forthcoming the balance
of advantage certainly weighs heavily towards deportation of
selected persons as an initial step.
24
If China chooses to ignore any such proposals this might
be interpreted as a degree of assent. But such interpretation
must be left largely to the personal impression of the person
involved in the approach to Peking, m this instance it might be
possibe to deport a small number of people who are very likely
to be accepted, and are keen to go.
Certainly the latter is an
essential qualification as China is unlikely to persuade anyone
to cross to their side who is obviously reluctant to go.
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