D. 32855 Ed (4200)
NOTHING TO BE WRITTEN IN THIS MARGIN
Confidential
{
UNITED STATES
12. At the moment, China is contained largely
by the conventional and nuclear power of the
United States, which is very heavily committed
in Korea, Japan, Taiwan, Vietnam and Thailand.
While having to avoid a direct confrontation
with the Americans, the Chinese must aim to
eliminate their resence in Asia.
13.To what extent will the Americans wish to
remain committed on the mainland, the islands
or the horizon of Asia? The domestic, political
and economic pressures to reduce the commitment
will probably remain strong in the long run,
however temporarily diminished they may be by
recent Russian action in Czechoslovakia.
14. The key to American action lies in the
kind of settlement they are able to achieve in
Vietnam. If it is one which enables them to
withdraw their forces, will whey take the
opportunity to pull them out of Thailand also,
relying on economic aid from the West and Japan
to strengthen indigenous resistance to Chire se
domination?
15.America's allies can only peculate as to
where she will judge her interests lie and as
to how far whe will feel she can disengage, at
least militarily, from developments in Asia.
The extent of her persent engagement is remarked
where appropriate in the sections that follow.
?
No comments yet.
Private notes are available after approval.