TNAG-0005-FCO40-41-Departmental-briefs-about-Hong-Kong-1968 — Page 71

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to protect all those cities ?

9.

In the decade we are looking at, will we

see China emerge into the international comity,

for good or ill ? Can the West assist this ?

Do we want to, or is Chinese emergence best

postponed until 'revisionism' has set in ?

If China joined the United Nations in the next

few years, her influence would probably be

disruptive but to what extent would her

membership reduce her isolation and change her

attitudes and eventually her policies ?

10. In or out of the U.N., China will continue

to exert some influence throughout the world.

There are indications that her early efforts

in Africa have largely failed as far as the

established governments there are concerned.

But she is likely to go on attracting the

adherence of revolutionary intellectuals in

the Third World, especially those without

office.

11. As far as Asia is concerned, China

(unless wholly pre-occupied with civil war)

can not fail to react on her neighbours,

among which for the purposes of this paper is

included the United States. The possible

shape of such reactions is reviewed in the

succeeding sections.

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