THE CHINA MAIL, JUNE 10, 1937.
WARNING AGAINST BOOM TENDENCY
AMERICA CHECKING SUPERFICIAL
RECOVERY
report "new highs" in these products. To these conspicuous markers on the highway to nation were added non- terrous metals such as lead, zinc, cop- per, tin, which as a group have risen 46 per cent. since the commodity boom got under way last autumn.
Time To Pause
As late as February tin was selling at 50 U.S. cents per pound. Early in March it hit a ten-year high of 663⁄41⁄4 cents, despite the fact that the Inter- national Tin Committee, threw the Lon- don market into confusion by suddenly upping second quarter quotes from-100 of 1929 per cent. to 110 per cent. figures.
Is America headed for another 1929 ? Although the average investor has not begun to take this question serious-| ly, it has been raised and Washington bigwigs are beginning to wonder is the crash of 1929 might not be duplicated In another year or/ two. Should America run into another boom period and crash similar to the hectic days of '29, there is no doubt but that the Roosevelt Administration would be dis- credited for every good thing already | achieved to date. In fact, it is more than possible that stockholders and Mr.
hold Average Man would
Roosevelt himself to blame, writes the "China Press" Finance Editor.
Not unaware of these possibilities is Speaking of the big copper boom, far-seeing Franklin Delano Roosevelt. already alluded to in these columns In mid-March the subject-inflation-several days ago, Mr. Bertie Charles came up for
discussion. President Forbes has quoted President Shattuck Roosevelt had alluded to the topic in Cates of Phelps Dodge Corporation as his "fireside chat" on the court when declaring: "This is no time to whoop he said: "The dangers of 1929 are things up, to send prices of copper sky- again becoming possible, not this week rocketing. The industry was mak- or month, perhaps, but within a yearing steady progress in a satisfactory of two." Cabinet officers-Secretaries way. It would be a pity to bring Wallace and Roper-have also taken up about hectic conditions which in the the theme, warning of the dangers of nature of things could not be expected
inflationary boom. Marriner S. to last.".
an
What Is Inflation?
Eccles, chairman of the Federal Re- Just how much the present "boom" serve Board, has issued a long state-on the New York stock market is link- ment on the subject.
ed with armaments, wars and rumours of wars is another question. Yet, this is the time to take pause. Men's ideas. become distorted in times just like this and it is not until the shouting dies down that they have been caught short, holding the proverbial sack.
To most people inflation means a rapid, uncontrolled rise of prices caus- ed by the depreciation of money as a result of the abnormal issue of paper currency, the abnormal expansion, of bank credit, or both. Mr. Eccles once defined it as "a condition brought about!
· in when the means of payment
the hands of those who will spend them' increase faster than goods can be pro- duced."
as
A rapid increase in commodity prices is regarded in some circles
the "danger signal" of threatening infla- tion, and recently some prices have been soaring. Some basic commodities in- -copper, wheat and cotton, for stance-have trebled in value since the depression low point.
JAPAN IN N. CHINA CONTROL OF RESOURCES
.control
of+
The rise of Japanese economic resources and industries in North China is traced by Mr. Tien- Mr. Eccles attributed sharp price in- tsung Sih, Research Fellow of the creases primarily to "non-monetary Council of International Affairs, in a factors, including foreign armament bulletin, "Sino-Japanese Economic Co- demands, strikes and monopolistic prac-operation in North China.” tices by certain groups both in industry
22
Control Methods
Sino-
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Although negotiations, for and labour,” Administration critics, Japanese economic co-operation were however, suggested that the govern- not successful, Japan has take direct ment's own policies had created the action to seize control of various econo- situation, since price-raising had been mic enterprises, according to Mr. Sih. one of its avowed aims.
Plan Elaborate
Every description et Banking and Exchange "The plan is an elaborate one, parts business tranzanted. Loans granted an approved
securities. To check a too rapid upward ten- of which have already been carried
Current Accounts opened in LocalCurrency dency in the business world the U.S. out," writes Mr. Sih. "This plan in-and Fixed Deposite received for our
shorter periods in Local and Foreign Currencies government more than a year ago be-volves activities along four lines: na-
On terms which will be quoted on application. It raised- margin gan to move.
retural resources, communication, indus- Safe Deposit Boxes To Lok, ma
KAN TUNG. PO, quirements, thereby restraining stock tries and power plant." market speculation by forcing those in
To satisfy her tremendous need for the market to put up more cash when coal, Japan has obtained extensive in- buying securities. Later it raised the terests in the coal mining industry of size of reserves which banks must North China, maintain as a basis for deposits; a few
Salt, which is important also in the weeks ago reserve requirements were manufacture of poison gas and explo- again raised.
the sives, is another great need of
Head Office: Hong Kong. On Capitol Hill the suggestion. of in- Japanese. They have bought
much
26, Des Voeux Road, Central. creased taxes has found small sym-Changlu salt under contract and now
Authorised Capital $10,000,000 pathy. Senator Harrison, chairman of plan to establish a Japanese concern
LONDON BANKERS:- the Senate Finance Committee, declar- to produce 50,000 tons of salt annually
Westminster Bank, Ltd. ed there would be no new taxes this in east Hopel, year. He asserted that prices were not
Foreign Exchange and -every des- Japanese are also gaining control yet too high, and added that he did not over the transportation systems of cription of banking business transact- share Mr. Eccles's views on inflation. North China with plans for a
Shih-ed.
THE WING ON BANK. LTD.
A balanced budget met with greater chiachwang-Tsangchow Railway, the Current Accounts and Savings Ac- Congressional approval, but economics establishment of a Japanese-controlled counts opened. Mixed Deposits re- were preferred to taxes.
aviation company, and the reorganisa-ceived at rates which will be quoted tion of a shipping company to put it on application. under Japanese administration.
Despite Senator Harrison's optimism, building materials and iron and steel products have been in new high ground for some time. Almost every week surveys issued by Swan, Culbertson & Fritz, reviewing the New York market,
ཞ
MINERAL WEALTH OF THE BRITISH EMPIRE
Expanding Industrially
The Japanese are also gaining con- trol of various industries in North China, including textile, rayon, match, etc., according to Mr. Sih.
"Only last year," he pointed out, "the Japanese bought three Chinese mills out of five in Tientsin, in addition. to`amill acquired some years ago.
In his conclusion, Mr. Sih declares that although Sino-Japanese economic co-operation in North China is not un- desirable, it will not be acceptable to China unless it is achieved on a basis
The British Empire has a bright future as a mineral producer, says the survey made by the Imperial Institute..of equality.
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In coal and iron ore the Empire has “While economic co-operation has a enormous reserves, it is stated, the place of importance, it must be stress- enterprising use of which should enable ed here that the urgency of political it to maintain a high place in the readjustment must not be neglected,”? world's industries.
he wrote. "Under the existing circum-led by the mère display of force, while The production of coal in the United stances, North China has become prac- the high sounding altruisms of equal- ity and reciprocity are thrown to thọ Kingdom is not only the chief mining tically a Japanese military outpost. industry in this country, but by far the "Consequently, whatever project winds. If the Japanese really wish to most important in the Empire, repre- which the Japanese may propose sa- bring about a more favourable, situa- senting, according to the latest figures vors of a military character and pur- tion, it is time for them to ponder available, 87 per cent. of the value of pose. It is hardly to be expected that carefully and to start co-operation in al
Chinese susceptibilities all mineral production.(Benter),
Sir Vandeleur M. Grayburn, Chief Manager.
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