CO537-(205_1260-1262) — Page 254

CO537 Colonial Confidential Records 理藩院機密檔案 All

002 12

reviewed at

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in-C.,

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38.

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THE NATIONAL ARCHIVES

CO 537/1260

N

restrictions. Further information is given in the enclosed Terms and Conditions of supply of National Archives (eaflet

y is supplied subject to the National Archives' terms and conditions and that your use of it may be subject to copyright

ANNEX I

[J. 1. C. (46) 7 (0) (Revised Fincl)

7TH IDIUARY, 1946.

J

HONG KONG FENCE PLAN

002 13

Report by the Joint Intelligence Sub-Committee We have been asked by the Joint Planning Staff to examine Section. II and III o an appreciation by the Commandor-in-Chief, Hong Kong, on the Defence of Hong Kong, with a view to assessing the potential threat to Hong and commenting on the necessity for an intelligence organisation included in the Commander-in-Chief, Hong recor..ondations. Our remarks are as follow-

Kong,

Kong's

Ref.:

CO 537/1260

THE NATIONAL ARCHIVES

2

restrictions. Further information is given in the enclosed Terms and Conditions of supply of National Archives' leaflet. Please note that the copy is supplied subject to the National Archives' terms and conditions and that your use of it may be subject to copyright

2.

It is considered that, at present, no nation except China is likely to undertake to wrest Hong Kong from British

The possibility of a major war between China and hand.. Great Erit in in the next ten years is so remote as to be negligible. In any other attempt to recover the Colony

+

the U.S.S.R. and the U.S.. might give China diplomatic support.

3.

The Chinese are singularly inept at mounting an attack

nd, in fact, have never scored a major success in the course of their eight years wr with Japan.

FORCES AVAILABLE

ܢܳܐ

The fighting forces at Chinc's disposal are estimated

to be briefly an follows:-

(a) Nevy

The Chinese navy hu never been, and is never likely to be, an officient fighting force.

(b) Army

The most efficient troops in the present day

Chinese Army aro those trained and equipped by the Americans. They amount to approximately twenty divisions and number about 390,000 personnel. They equipped with infantry weapons and also with field and medium artillery. The efficiency of the artillery personnel is not of a high standard. Some captured Japanose A. F.Vs may be available but a co- ordinated attack by armoured formations is unlikely. Air support has not been developed

-5-

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