(e)

79 -

According to Wyatt, the HK$46.6 billion of investment funds surveyed fepresents about 40% of the total estimated funds under management in the retirement schemes industry. Using information from the Wyatt reports the aggregate value of retirement schemes should be as follows:

Total value

Wyatt's Surveyed Schemes

of funds

Growth

Year

Total value of funds.

(+40%)

Rate

HK$b

HK$b

%

1994

46.6

117

-11%

1993

52.6

132

61%

1992

32.7

82

9%

1991

30.0

75

20%

1990

25.0

63

0%

1989

25.0

63

25%

1988

20.0

50

0%

1987

20.0

50

18%

1986

17.0

43

70%

1985

10.0

25

33%

1984

7.5

19

150%

1983

3.0

8

(f)

Based on Wyatt's survey on investment returns for the total population of retirement schemes in Hong Kong from 1983-1994 (as shown below), the median annual rate of return is 16.3% per annum over the 12-year period. Discounting the average annual inflation factor of 8.8% (Hang Seng CPI) over the same 12-year period, there is a real rate of return of 7.5% per annum (after deduction of a fund management fee of about 1%).

Year

Return in %

1994

-13.3

1993

53.3

1992

5.2

1991

16.1

1990

-3.4

1989

17.9

1988

11.7

1987

5.4

1986

41.2

1985

34.6

1984

4.4

1983

36.0

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