16

Wednesday, December 13, 1972

"Interest rates in London have in general been higher than

elsewhere," he pointed out. If these rates were taken at one per cent

per annum higher then the extra interest would amount to some £30 million.

"This goes some way towards off-setting the capital loss we

have now suffered. It is a fact that all countries with overseas reserves

to invest find the choice of currency a difficult one, " he said.

Those countries who chose the U.S. dollar, he noted, suffered

a loss of 8.57 per cent last December and they had no guarantee at all

against further losses.

While our Sterling Guarantee and its extensions to the banks

through the Exchange Fund Guarantee Scheme had afforded us inadequate

protection, "it has proved better than no guarantee at all," he said.

The Financial Secretary explained that the Government's surplus

available for spending on future projects had been correspondingly

reduced and he gave two reasons for this.

Firstly, the free surplus in the Exchange Fund -- that is the

amount required to maintain the assets of the Fund at 105 per cent of the

note issue would be largely used up in adjustment payments to the banks.

The second reason was that the Hong Kong dollar value of the sterling

assets held on account of the General Account had been reduced.

Mr. Haddon-Cave estimated that the Colony's fiscal surplus at this

time stood at about $3,000 million as compared with $3,900 at March 31, 1972.

These calculations, he said, did not take into account any fall in

the market value of our securities nor the surplus accumulated so far this

year.

The Financial

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