(b)
(c)
the number of troops which could be effectively
deployed across the boundary of the Leased Territories would be limited by the narrowness of the front and the poor communications leading to it;
the enemy's troops would be less well-trained
and organised than ours. They lack armour
and mechanical transport, their equipment is unbalanced, and their artillery technique is only moderate.
There would be an additional threat of seaborne infiltration by sumpan and junk around the long sea coast of the Colony and the Leased Territories. Although such an attack could be supported by those ships of the Chinese Nationalist Navy which had defected to the Communists, is no likelihood of a Chinese navy making any effective attempt in the presence of the Far Eastern Squadron.
there
9.
The tasks of the garrison would be to:-
(a) hold a line in the Leased Territories;
(b) counter seaborne landings;
(c)
exploit our command of the air;
(a)
maintain internal security.
10.
Land Defence. We consider that if the attack given in Annex I, paragraph 10 (2-3 divisions) were mounted, we could hold the line from Tolo Harbour to Deep Bay with one division backed by adequate air support.
To meet local or guerilla attacks, one brigade group (including one armoured regiment and two field regiments) would be adequate, in addition to the brigade group for internal security.
11. Seaborne Landings. The threat might consist of large numbers of junks and sampans landing parties of infantry in widely dispersed areas. The Far Eastern Squadron, including naval manned local patrol craft, if assisted by air reconnaissance, could prevent any effective seaborne assault. Nevertheless, troops would be required to mop up ■uch small parties which might succeed in getting ashore. We consider that this task could be performed by mobile columns from the brigade employed on maintaining internal security.
12.
Air Defence. We consider that to meet sporadic air attack, one fighter squadron of 8 aircraft with fighter control and early warning radar is essential: one composite AA regiment is also required. It is most important for the morale of the local population that air attacks should be effectively countered.
~8-0