Hong Kong to China, we consider that it is of the

utmost importance, that, if and when the Chinese

seek the discussions contemplated in 1943, it

should be made a condition prior to the opening of

discussions that they will be confined to the lease

of the New Territories. It would also be useful if

an understanding were reached with the Chinese

before the discussions that, if a satisfactory

arrangement were reached as the result of the

discussions in regard to the New Territories, they

would accept this as a final settlement of the

so-called Hong Kong question.

12. The following appear to be the factors to

be taken into consideration in formulating the line

to be taken, if and when discussions take place

with the Chinese.

(a)

Chinese goodwill and co-operation

are necessary for the re-establishment

of our position in China, in the Far

East generally, and in Malaya in

particular, whereas China has no essential

need in which she is dependent on us.

(b)

China is in a position at short notice

(c)

to paralyse the entrepot trade of Hong

Hong, on which the Colony depends.

The insecurity of our present tenure

of the New Territories for new projects

involving substantial expenditure

(e.g. the airfield project estimated to

cost £4,000,000).

(a)

The need for continued control over

installations in the New Territories on

the termination of the lease.

(e)

The administrative and other difficulties

that would follow the return to China of

the

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