;)
00 130
I LAN
Trunce Sub-Committee
Joint 1lanning; Staff to
an appreciation by the
on the buruncu of Hong Kong, otential threat to Hong Kong,
for an intelligenco Somaɛnder-in-Chier', Hong
remarks tre na follows:-
prusunt, no nation c.cupt
o wreston;t Kon from
ty oljor war betwean ·
next ten yours is so
In any other attempt
B... nd the U. S........ might
y inupt at mounting an
r ccored a major nucOOSO
LPs war vith Japan.
hina's disposal aro
lows :-
nover buon, and is novor, Micio ftin, forco.
N
Ref:
CO 537/1260
THE NATIONAL ARCHIVES
Please note that this copy is supplied subject la the National Archives' terms and conditions and that your use of it may be subject to copyright
restrictions.
Further information is given in the enclosed Terms and Conditions of supply of National Archives' leaflet
roops in the present Jay
hoze trained ad oquipped by buy amount to approximately
nu numlor out 390,000
are quiprut with infantry
ith fielà Luč medium artillery.
the artillery personnel is
alevd. Some cnpturod
be
vil.blo but a co-
y armoured formations is
poit has not boon dovoloped
00131
Please note that this copy is s
led subject to the Kallonal Archives:
CO 537/1260
THE NATIONAL ARCHIVES
restrictions. Further information is given in the enclosed Terms and Conditions of supply of National Archives' leafel is and that your use of it may be subject to copyrigh
Lut the Chinese are known to bo in possession of an American trained Iurachute Regiment; this regiment has not so r had battlo experience. Without rican aid, the Chinese my would be ineffective aguinat trained troops, and in the unlikely ovent of var betoon (reat Britain and China, wo consider it murican personnel would not participate on the side of China.
(c) ir Force
It is ostinbod thrt, ut prosent, China hes
vil: ble 400 first line nircraft to which total (26 being „odud :pproximately 400 enese and at least 300 joñurn Jurican pl nos. Severu limit. tions would be impoвod on their operation::1 usc by poor servicin”, once
k.rican supervision is withdrawn. It is considered that, under these com itions, air support for military operatious could not be sustained but voulâ be limited to sporadic rids, which would be inefectivo in fuco of opposition, The denter of mining by aircraft is considered no; li iblc.
IOLINICAL MOTO.S
5.
last
The declared policy of the 3.mp:1 government is to rucov.r Dong Kon by diplomt. ic avans. Whis policy has been maintrinca sinco digan's suerüteur, "að vis reaffirmed by Chian: Kai-shuk in a speech on 24th Ju, ust, 1995. cxperience and prosent indications nu oat, however, that the Chinese will not confin. thamaclvch to purely diplomatic muana in bria, in, prensare to tour for the recovery of our Kong. Top example, to propaganda comprign to recover the colony or Chin, his alretty boon experienced in a mild form, und ins recently buen reinforced by a press agitation arisi out of the displ.coment of Chinese from the site of airfield in the new teritories. It is considered that the cagion will be mini:incu und intensified by the Central overnment as a accural prelue and adjunct to pressure yiplomatic means for the recovery of the Colony. This pressure is likely o le
Ģirccted in the first placo ni ningú the bow Urrisories, a formal claim for whose rutruccusion in to bu oxpoca in the nuer incure.
1OSSILLE PONTS OF .....2..CK
(A) Direct assault by land on the Frontier of the New Territorius. Thore mi ht also be some unco-ordinated and limited mining by junks.
() Ineffective air ralás on lort or Kilitary installations, which may, however, Juve some effect on civilian mor:lu.
(C) Individual rodos by pirates for personal
gain.
internal
(D) Spordic Guerilla ralis as the result of
nrost or civil war in China.
-6x-
N
6.
า