ENCLOSURE TO ANNEX I
J. I. C. (46) 7 (0) (Revised Final)
7TH FEBRUARY, 1946
00130
HONG KONG DEFENCE 1LAN
Report by the Joint Intelligence Sub-Committee
Wo have been scked by the Joint 1lanning: Staff to examine Suctions II and III or an approcintion by the Comander-in-Chief, Hong Kong, on the fence of Hong Kong, with r. view to assessing the potential thrunt to Hong Kong, Lnd camenting on the necessit, for an intelligence organisation included in the Cominɛnder-in-Chier, Hong Kong's recommendations. Our Punarke are as follows:-
Ref:
CO 537/1260
THE NATIONAL ARCHIVES
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2, It is considered that, nt presunt, no nation c.cupt China is likely to undertake to wrust ong Kon from British hands. The possibility of a injor war betwoon Ching and Great ritain in the next ten years is so romote as to be no»ligiolo. In any other attempt
to recover the Colony the U. S. 3.2. nd the U.S... might
ive China diplom.tic support.
3. The Chinese aru ain; ularly inept at mounting an
attr.ck ano, in fact, have never scored a major success
in the course or thiċir ei; ht yours war with Jupan.
FORCES AVAILME
4. The fighting forces at China's disposal aro
stimated to be briefly as follows
(a) Navy
The Chineso unvy has never boon, and is novor, likely to .0, an officio fi htin forco.
(b) rmy
The most efficient troops in the present way
Chinose my are those trained ad equipped by the Arrion.s. They mount to approximately twonty divisionsnd number about 390,000 person.l. Ty are equipped with infantry Woupons also with field nud medium artillery. The efficiency or the artillery personnel is not of a hihat: nderd. Somu ciptured Japenoso... Va oy be availr.blo but a co- ordinated attack by armoured formations is unlikely. ..ir support has not been developed
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