See 53552/38 and previous correspondence.

Cash

any publice openca hoch)

China

lve m would probably

he

strongly

very agasn't such as negotiations ut

moment.

the prese

airport, is also situated in the new territories.

Unless the course of the present hostilities

nas altered Chinese opinion very considerably, a matter

of which we have no evidence, I think we may take it

that they would be very unwilling to consider altering the present status of the New Territories in our

favour. In this connection the recent correspondence

about the status of the walled city of Kowloon is of

interest as showing their attitude.

On reconsideration I

feel

that

the present is a favourable moment for raising this

question. The only inducement we can offer the present

Chinese Government, whose continued existence is, of

course, by no means certain, for the extension of the lease or the outright cession or the New Territories

would seem to be either the grant of extensive credit

or the payment of a very large sum. I doubt if either

of these will be considered here at the present time,

and even if they were the opportunities which they would give to China of purchasing large supplies of arms would almost certainly raise a very outspoken

objection on the part of the Japanese Government.

am inclined to think that the matter could better be

raised after the present hostilities are over.

I

These considerations are, nowever, largely for the F.0. and I suggest that we should merely send

a copy of Sir. G. Northcote's letter to them and ask

for their obsons.

? So proceed.

P. Rage D

29.1.38.

It is a question for the Foreign Office, and

probably for the Cabinet, whether the present time

is opportune for any approach to the Chinese

Government in the matter of the extension of the lease

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