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4. On the 22nd February, Mr. Chu Chao-hsin,

the Commissioner for Foreign Affairs at Canton

telegraphed to me that Marshal Li Chai-sum had

returned from Wuchow on the previous day and would

be "leaving for Nanking not before March 3rd", and that

he hoped that I would pay an unofficial visit to

Canton after the 26th February.

In this connection

please see paragraph 5 of my Secret despatch of the

1st February. It so happened that I had a number

of official engagements already made for dates between

the 26th February and the 3rd March and I, therefore,

replied thanking Marshal Li for his kind invitation

but regretting that it was not possible for me to leave Hong Kong just at present. I had another reason for making this reply, namely, that it seemed to me inadvisable to visit Marshal Li immediately

before he again left for Nanking.

The outlook is

gloomy and obscure; but I should visit Marshal Li at Canton unofficially without hesitation, if I knew that he was likely to remain there for a few months, as this would enable me to have much informal

conversation with him, which would perhaps smoothe the way for subsequent official correspondence and do good by bringing Hong Kong and Canton closer/together. the point of such a visit would be lost, if directly after it Marshal Li left Canton for Nanking.

5.

The prospects of the Kwangsi group are thought by many Chinese to have improved owing to a development of the political situation in the North,

which foreshadows further misfortunes for China as a

whole. The probability of a conflict between

But

Feng

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