SECRET.

Copies to:-

Canton No.44

Peking No.11.

Singapore.

GOVERNMENT HOUSE,

HONG KONG 15th March, 1929.

Dapto 70. Дир

93

11/2

Sir,

In continuation to my Secret despatch of

28th February, 1929, I have the honour to inform

you that the political situation in China still

remains obscure and that any estimate of possible

future developments would be little more than guess

work. It seems clear, however, that the expulsion

from Hunan of Lo Tik-ping has precipitated a crisis

which was perhaps inevitable. The threatened

conflict is not merely between one group of Military

Commanders and another, but between provincial

authorities and the Central Government, and on this

ground alone Marshal Chiang Kai-shek as the head of

the National Government would appear to be in a

stronger position than his rivals.

Latest reports

suggest the possibility of a settlement by

compromise, involving the dissolution of the Wuhan

Branch Political Council, the dismissal of the

three persons who were present at the meeting which

THE RIGHT HONOURABLE

LIEUTENANT COLONEL L.C.M.S. AMERY, M.P.,

&C.,

&c.,

&C.

authorised

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